Nah, no shift needed. Just need to expand the overrunning moisture further north and we have a nice little event. That is certainly not unheard of with overrunning setups like this.
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Pattern Flaming Feb 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Stormlover
Member
The ICON is much more progressive in getting the n/s across. That decreases our chances for a valentines day storm.
Or not... Incoming?
Edit: Probably not, we get the same setup the GFS had yesterday with a sheared out wave. Let's hope we trend back towards more ridging along the EC.
Nothing like a balmy 14 degrees at Noon...
Downeastnc
Member
ICON not looking to bad....in fact this looks damn decent
Can't ask for better than that at the end of the run.
That is one heck of a temperature difference. 19 in OKC and in the mid 60s about 50-75 miles to the south. Powerful cold front...
Damn the gfs is getting colder middle of next week
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
That’s very bad for our storm potential around the 13th though.
Stormlover
Member
no it's not
Depends . The front is gonna get hung up somewhere that we know . This look right here should work . Let’s see how this run plays out
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Jessy89
Member
If the cold air doesn’t retreat before the storm. Then it be great to have cold here before hand to cool the ground temps
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Stormlover
Member
it's not much different at all from the last two runs with the push of arctic air...this isn't going to do that so far
Keep in mind that the Pacific needs to setup very perfectly. We can get a s/w, but without a proper trough south of Alaska, and a ridge directly to the east, the storm will shear out rather than deepen.Depends . The front is gonna get hung up somewhere that we know . This look right here should work . Let’s see how this run plays out
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Man you can’t help but like our chances with that lobe placement. Get that PV pinwheel spinning with energy flying around and this can work. It can still snow here. I think.
JLL1973
Member
he’s probably thinking the extreme cold will suppress the moisture which is often the case in the south
Stormlover
Member
yeah, but this is very little difference so far in the push
V16 has something cooking in the oven by hour 156.