tennessee storm
Member
this has major trouble written all over this look.... jesus
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Pattern February Discussion Part II
- Thread starter Shawn
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Even after this goes by, the subtropical jet engulfs the entire southern tier of the contiguous US, and this has also been a theme portrayed on the EPS, GEFS, GEPS, and other suites... The subtropical jet rarely gets this strong to begin w/, even over the North Pacific where it's commonplace to see meteorological bombs on a weekly basis throughout most of the winter...
With a jet that strong we shouldn't have to worry about rain coming in. We definitely need to be heads up for possible severe though.
tennessee storm
Member
wow... the 6zgfs isn't letting up on the severe wx look down the road...
pcbjr
Member
NWS Jax is getting on board for some severe; bet they update the outlook to a more ominous one in a day or so.
this is what is looked like 3 years ago today
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accu35
Member
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miss those daysthis is what is looked like 3 years ago today
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Ive tried my best to go through the soundings and find some hope to end as a few snow flakes on Wednesday evening....no chance 
On the bright side the EPS looks decent for the last few days of the month.
ATLwxfan
Member
Close the thread. Let's just banter until November. Except those peculiar severe folk 
...we can give them a thread.
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...we can give them a thread.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
whatalife
Moderator
tennessee storm
Member
yeah... thinking the same... need a spring severe wx thread for thoughts... thought bout starting one... but didn't know if only mods could do that... curious...Close the thread. Let's just banter until November. Except those peculiar severe folk
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I say fire it up....
whatalife
Moderator
Go for it! I guarantee you won't screw it up. LOL!
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RollTide18
Member
I didn't think the winter of 11-12 could be topped but this winter just hit it with a German Suplex
ATLwxfan
Member
I mean at this point the best we can hope for is a long cool spring and a BN summer.
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I checked the MJO this morning, the GFS is putting it at neutral of phase 1/8 during 21-22 and then it goes back into phase 8 on the 25th. The GFS ensemble keeps it at a weak phase 8 after the 20th. Indices aren't that bad looking, wish the NAO will trend negative and the AO after the 20th. I'm thinking they will cause the GFS and EPS has been showing it getting colder after the 7-11 day system. I think the GEFS has also showing it getting colder.
Still going with my thinking, severe weather, specially south of I-20. Colder weather to follow after the phase takes place, depending on where the phase takes place, some states could transition over to snow.
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Still going with my thinking, severe weather, specially south of I-20. Colder weather to follow after the phase takes place, depending on where the phase takes place, some states could transition over to snow.
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