• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry February 7-8 Winter storm

Is the precip just too late and light for snow in Charlotte area
 
I suppose there is always a chance. WRF-AWR2. That would make a lot in NC happy. 41370387-2990-4816-9970-3385342BC2E2.jpeg
 
It isn't often that ATL gets snow of any amount on prevailing S or SW winds. As a matter of fact, I'd call it rare at best. This may be another reason to keep accum expectations low near the city, itself. If I get time, I'll see if I can find a single instance of accum SN at KATL with prevailing S or SW winds. The good news is that will provide ample moisture. But will it warm it too much too fast?? Opinions?
 
Bsud said:
This just doesn't seem likely when most places is going to see 20s tonight, and then the cloud cover tomorrow will lock the cold in. I could see it warming later in the day with WAA
Click to expand...

Yea it should warm up mid afternoon and most snow will turn into a cold rain. It’s more of a 7-12am event from what I’ve seen on tv.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Hrr warming up is scary, need to hope nam stays cold
 
Bsud said:
This just doesn't seem likely when most places is going to see 20s tonight, and then the cloud cover tomorrow will lock the cold in. I could see it warming later in the day with WAA
Click to expand...
I’m thinking the same about clear skies tonight then getting locked in and probably high rates.
 
The HRRR is initializing to warm, but like GaWx says, we rarely ever get snow with south or southeast winds, so that would be a bit concerning.

I would never count 100 % on cloud cover locking cold air in either, its all about the wind direction and the cold air source.

31.6F
7:57PM

Could folks put their city and state location on their profiles? Elevation would be nice too, but everyone may not know their exact number, but location would be nice.

If my location says northeastern Georgia, that could be anywhere from Athens (750') to Clayton (1900').
 
GaWx said:
It isn't often that ATL gets snow of any amount on prevailing S or SW winds. As a matter of fact, I'd call it rare at best. This may be another reason to keep accum expectations low near the city, itself. If I get time, I'll see if I can find a single instance of accum SN at KATL with prevailing S or SW winds. The good news is that will provide ample moisture. But will it warm it too much too fast?? Opinions?
Click to expand...
Maybe the first snow of January 2008? It surprised everyone by starting as snow and we picked up an inch or two before it turned to rain. Seems to me the flow was straight from the south.
 
EmersonGA said:
Maybe the first snow of January 2008? It surprised everyone by starting as snow and we picked up an inch or two before it turned to rain. Seems to me the flow was straight from the south.
Click to expand...
I think what saves us here is the rates and timing. Get heavy rates on what would be borderline temps and we have a win plus the perfect timing where we usually hit our min temp. The upper air will mix down and the snow should cool the air off and keep it cool for snow so long as our rates maintain decently
 
EmersonGA said:
Maybe the first snow of January 2008? It surprised everyone by starting as snow and we picked up an inch or two before it turned to rain. Seems to me the flow was straight from the south.
Click to expand...
I remember that event well, picked up a quick 1/2 inch before the changeover to rain from WAA.
 
J.C. said:
The HRRR is initializing to warm, but like GaWx says, we rarely ever get snow with south or southeast winds, so that would be a bit concerning.

I would never count 100 % on cloud cover locking cold air in either, its all about the wind direction and the cold air source.

31.6F
7:57PM

Could folks put their city and state location on their profiles? Elevation would be nice too, but everyone may not know their exact number, but location would be nice.

If my location says northeastern Georgia, that could be anywhere from Athens (750') to Clayton (1900').
Click to expand...
Down to 32 near Chastain Park in ATL. DP of 29. 1037 elevation.
 
J.C. said:
The HRRR is initializing to warm, but like GaWx says, we rarely ever get snow with south or southeast winds, so that would be a bit concerning.

I would never count 100 % on cloud cover locking cold air in either, its all about the wind direction and the cold air source.

31.6F
7:57PM

Could folks put their city and state location on their profiles? Elevation would be nice too, but everyone may not know their exact number, but location would be nice.

If my location says northeastern Georgia, that could be anywhere from Athens (750') to Clayton (1900').
Click to expand...
Temp ~30F and dropping.
8:15 PM
Elevation ~1200'
 
GaWx said:
It isn't often that ATL gets snow of any amount on prevailing S or SW winds. As a matter of fact, I'd call it rare at best. This may be another reason to keep accum expectations low near the city, itself. If I get time, I'll see if I can find a single instance of accum SN at KATL with prevailing S or SW winds. The good news is that will provide ample moisture. But will it warm it too much too fast?? Opinions?
Click to expand...

- For >2” SN and IP, alone 1952-2014 (I still need to look at under 2")

Avg Direction # storms

E 6 (2/15/1958, 2/18/1979, 1/12-3/1982, 1/7/1988, 1/9-10/2011, 2/12/2014 (this was also a major ZR))

NE 8 (2/26/1952, 3/11/1960, 12/31/1963, 1/16/1965, 3/24/1983, 1/22/1987, 1/24/1991, 2/26/2004)

N 3 (2/29/1968, 1/23/2002 (started NE and later went NW), 2/12/2010)

NW 6 (1/9/1962, 3/2/1980, 1/18/1992, 3/13/1993 (blizzard), 12/22-3/1993, 3/1/2009 (bowling ball))

W 1 (12/19/2000)
 
I'm willing to bet that's snow up in GSP
1581181200-saPj42cQOJw.png
 
Checked the weather station 1/4 mile up the street from my house in NE Forsyth County, Ga.: 34/26. Elevation 1,217 feet.

The newest HRRR run (from what I've seen) is almost geek-out mode with regards to rates. Rain/snow line looks to be just a bit to my south.

--30--
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top