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Wintry February 7-8 Winter storm

Looks like most of the models are getting on board with snow tomorrow in a lot of areas. Could be a fun day. If the upstate gets an inch which looks very possible, I'd call it a winter and be happy
 
Looks like most of the models are getting on board with snow tomorrow in a lot of areas. Could be a fun day. If the upstate gets an inch which looks very possible, I'd call it a winter and be happy
Let’s not even hope for an inch so we’re not disappointed if this is a virga storm... let’s hope for flakes and then be pleasantly surprised by a dusting!
 
12z RGEM will ground you back down to reality a little bit from the NAM/WRF, but it is faster/wetter with the timing of the precip vs 6z.
 
We’re going into minute casting here in a minute! In about 4 1/2 hrs the 18 hr hrrr should start producing the start of snow in Ga.
 
12z RGEM will ground you back down to reality a little bit from the NAM/WRF, but it is faster/wetter with the timing of the precip vs 6z.


The RGEM is what is keeping me skeptical here. The surface is blazing on it. Mid-levels are fine, but the boundary is ughhhhhly. I really hope the temperature profile on the NAM/WRF models is right.
 
The RGEM is what is keeping me skeptical here. The surface is blazing on it. Mid-levels are fine, but the boundary is ughhhhhly. I really hope the temperature profile on the NAM/WRF models is right.
Remember last system .. temps were much colder at the ground layer so that even people in wake county saw sleet and snow at the onset (which was like 3-4 PM!!) if we get the rates then we will for sure have the snow
 
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