Snowflowxxl
Member
Just a heads up but the HRW/ARW all have a big cold bias and shouldn’t be trusted
I thought for that system precip was modeled prettt well? Mets just thought ground temps wouldn’t allow for much with acum?That was a function of QPF being off.
Factors in play were CAA being under modeled , QPF spatially & magnitude (more so I believe), ground temps were more so of a supporting point that Mets used when really the issue at hand was temps & QPF that led to them no forecasting 8-12”.I thought for that system precip was modeled prettt well? Mets just thought ground temps wouldn’t allow for much with acum?
Is there any ground truth to that?There's already moisture over in AL, moving east. I'd expect flurries after midnight as this moisture moves into GA. This is a good sign! View attachment 33484
We are sitting at 30 in Chastain Park area with onset of precip looking at 9am give or take. Having a hard time believing this will be a rain event around here. But I’ve been burned before.
FWIW HRRR is continuing to improve.