Wintry February 7-8 Winter storm

[Ron Burgundy]

HRRR was about to coat most of the metro with atleast 1-2

Shows the moisture arriving by 9am in ATL. Earlier the better.

 

[Snownut]

Here in upstate we really have to hope this moves in 7-8am instead of 10am.


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Why temps tonight will be in upper 20s, the upstate as seen some of their best shows at 34-36° I really dont see it warming up much over that until maybe late tomorrow afternoon.

 

[GaWx]

@GaWx i need you to do some digging for me because you’re good at it. What’s the most number of trace snowfalls recorded in a winter without recording anything over a dusting? Narrow your search scope to Charlotte, GSP, Atlanta, Greensboro, Raleigh.

I don't have time to do the others, but I think for ATL the record high # of traces without any measurable in a season was 13 in 1950-1 (Nov 2, Dec 5, Feb 3, Mar 2, Apr 1)

 

[Chazwin]

Why temps tonight will be in upper 20s, the upstate as seen some of their best shows at 34-36° I really dont see it warming up much over that until maybe late tomorrow afternoon.

Last year in April 2, I watched moderate to heavy rates for two hours between 8am and 11am put down 2.5 inches of snow after the previous 3 days had seen highs near 70. Early April sun angle and the temperature the whole snowfall was between 34-36, so I have a hard time thinking that those who see good enough rates tomorrow are not gonna see at least some accumulation

 

[Six Mile Wx]

 

[Snownut]

View attachment 33447

That's some heavy stuff that would likely move over the upstate

 

[Broken024]

What causes this to fall apart futher east?

 

[WxWatch]

View attachment 33447

That's really heavy snowfall, it's maxed out! I bet there will be white out conditions.

 

[Ron Burgundy]

View attachment 33447

That is crazy! There will be a mass freak out in ATL it those rates come close to verifying. Really glad this is on a Saturday!

 

[Snownut]

I know this sounds like wish casting but this looks like one of those surprise systems that over performs.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

It all depends on the rates. If it’s heavy it’s gonna be a good hit, if it’s light then everyone gets the middle finger.

 

[CamWX]

Wish this was during the week, a threat of snow gets work cancelled. Still very excited!

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

People saying no accumulations even though these heavy rates are showing on models shocks me

 

[Snowflowxxl]

People saying no accumulations even though these heavy rates are showing on models shocks me

They learned nothing from 2017. It was 35 degrees and I got 3 inches of snow in like an hour and a half

 

[Snowflowxxl]

22z HRRR is too warm for most outside mtns

 

[Six Mile Wx]

Might toss the HRRR 22Z

 

[LovingGulfLows]

HRRR is so inconsistent for a mesoscale short-range model. 1 run, the snow line is around I-20, the next north of Lake Lanier...that's like a 60 mile jump.

 

[Showmeyourtds]

A few years ago I moved from about 2 miles north of the perimeter to 2 miles inside it. It’s been unbelievable how negatively that short four mile difference has impacted my accumulations.

this is so true. I grabbed close to 5 inches in DEC 2017 in the Decatur area, but I know folks down near Panola MTN that hardly saw the ground covered.

 

[Weatherlover92]

Taking a quick look at the radar and there's light rain spreading across N. MS right now.

EDIT: None of the latest short range models runs show precip in MS starting this early fwiw.

 

[drfranklin]

37.5/22, clear