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Wintry February 7-8 Winter storm

Gfs is meh . Given the tendency of the NAM to over juice systems I’d be thrilled to see a passing snow shower


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Lol, FWIW the nam done great last week for western NC snow. Tonight 0z gfs looks the same as 18z maybe a tab better. But at this point I'm watching these short ranges and hoping for something myself.
 
I don't think this will amount to much (especially for folks east of mountains), but RAH is saying there is a possibility:
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 440 AM Thursday...

An
upper level
shortwave
should will approach and cross the area on
Saturday and Saturday night bringing a small threat of some spotty
light rain on Saturday afternoon across the Triad and much of the
area Saturday night. The system is
moisture
starved and only light,
scattered
precipitation is expected. The
thermal
profile is cold
enough such that snow is not out of the question toward the daybreak
hours, but have kept the forecast all rain for now given the
marginal temperatures. This is supported by SREF forecasts of
partial thicknesses near the snow/indeterminate location on the
nomogram. Highs on Saturday will range in the upper 40s to lower 50s
with lows in the lower to mid 30s on Saturday night.
Fair
weather is expected for Sunday through early Monday as high
pressure extends into the region. A slow moving cold
front
will
approach on Monday and move into the region on Tuesday before a
northern stream
trough
moves across the
OH
Valley and Mid Atlantic
on Wednesday. The result will be a chance of light rain or showers
on Tuesday and Wednesday. Highs on Monday will range in the lower to
mid 60s and moderate into the 60s to around 70 for Tuesday and
Wednesday. -Blaes
 
No words needed. Gotta love the 3KM NAM.
View attachment 33198
Good trends!
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