Six Mile Wx
Member
Gfs 12z Friday and Saturday events. GFS has almost lost the Saturday event 
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Wintry February 7-8 Winter storm
- Thread starter Six Mile Wx
- Start date
Six Mile Wx
Member
Sref mean for Saturday 
I'll take that little car topper and call it a Winter, a sucky winter but a winter none the less
Sorry to ask but do you have this with the Timeline for GA and ensembles. I've tried pulling these and can never figure it outlooking good for MS/Al
Noticing something from the NAM, very steep lapse rates and some weak instability, and good lift in the DGZ, that screams a thump 
ATLCane17
Member
If one were to go up to the NC mountains this weekend. Where would be the best place to see some snow? Up in the Banner Elk and Boone area?
Nerman
Member
So it's already dropped down to 37 in Memphis and they are expecting some snow to begin in 4 hours.
Nerman
Member
Huntsville looking at a 10 degree drop over the next 10 hours with snow showers possible around midnight.
Well looks like a picked the perfect weekend to head to Highlands, NC...will be sitting at 4000 ft looking up at mtns just over 5000ft hoping to catch some flakes. Looks to be a Good spot based on the maps.
I know they are not the best but the SREF plumes do show a good coating in Rome, GA and adjacent areas.
Nerman
Member
When?
olhausen
Member
I was wondering how a winter weather advisory had not been added for the middle Tennessee area. Now it has been with the euro dropping almost 2 inches of snow for my area. This one seems it will either be a fail or a little surprise if it over performs which I have a felling this ends up decent.
Attachments
Nerman
Member
NAM increasing totals for Saturday
12Z
18Z
12Z
18Z
John1122
Member
Went from 61 to 46 here on the Plateau in East Tennessee the last few hours. NAM/RAP average has me at 3 inches. Would be overjoyed with half that.
3km shows rain for areas around CLT but snow could make it to the surface with this look, I like those steep 700-500mb LRs and strong lift in the DGZ, May help things turn a little Convective and increase rates
Same thing for the upstate of SC
Same thing for the upstate of SC
I was just about to mention how the soundings look around CLT. This is obviously gonna be another rate dependent deal for us.
Here’s a good test. NAM shows intense cells 3am to 10am for western NC sliding into the piedmont. I believe, many others too, the NAM is just aggressive and wet. I’m doubtful this occurs anything over a light shower exiting eastward. This is for Friday which is in its wheelhouse. 3km NAM.
I'll be lucky if a snow band comes over my area and gives me a quick dusting. I'm not expecting much though, but I'll take any thing I can get.
18z 3km NAM showing good bands of snow in AL tomorrow AM...hopefully those will make it over GA.
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18z 3km NAM showing good bands of snow in AL tomorrow AM...hopefully those will make it over GA.
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If the 3k NAM is overly wet aggressive biased for Friday morning, I’m sure not gonna trust it over the others on Saturday.
Looks like tomorrow. I should add by coating I mean a dusting which I will gladly take.
Nerman
Member
Euro has a signal for Saturday and it was wrong about last weekend. Not saying it's right but at least it's something other than just the NAM.
3km, 18z NAM...still showing a burst of snowfall Saturday afternoon. Other short range models has moisture as well, but not as much snowfall like what the 3km is showing. Of course, I'm pulling for the 3km NAM lol.
Snowflowxxl
Member
I'm all in. I mean when the hell else are we suppose to throw our chips in this winter? This is the best chance we have had and will probably get at even seeing a flake. Maybe we can get a light dusting like we did on the Jan 23, 2016 "storm" ATL got like a light dusting and it was entertaining why i was in college lol
Maybe a little surprise in Georgia outside of the mtns. Sure is a potent 1” swath. Latest HRRR. 
Snownut
Member
Potent little system all way around on some models. I still think Ga and upstate sees snow out of this. May not be much but hey better than nothing
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Six Mile Wx
Member
Saturday event
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Six Mile Wx
Member
maybe chattanooga can snag cartopper snow #2 for the season...
ForsythSnow
Moderator
HRRR looks too dry with the 0Z run per current radar returns in MS. The NAM seems closer.
RollTide18
Member
Wish there was more moisture with this, only seems like two bands will set up in central Alabama.
Still 50 degrees though. Over the plateau in Manchester, TN it's 38.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
I wouldn't call model output set in stone. At this point that moisture blob in N MS is something to be watched. There might be a lot more moisture than modeled.
JLL1973
Member
Winter weather advisory just issued for us here in the midsouth
I am really thinking this surprises a few in North central alabama tonight. Someone is waking up to a .5 inch or 1 inch of snow in the morning. Not sure where that will be, but this is interesting.
Ilovesnow28
Member
Looks like this will be a hit or miss down this way so far just showers passing by with temps in the middle 40s I doubt if we make it to 34 because temps been holding steady in the 40s for quite sometime now... Maybe here in Tuscaloosa I will see a flake and call it a winter
Further west in north Alabama you are, the better odds.
NWS Huntsville is not too excited about it overall, and doesn't even mention Huntsville proper in their current discussion. I am watching that N MS moisture blob and temp/dp here is down to 43/42