Pattern February 2024

[CNCsnwfan1210]

IMO this SSW event upcoming will allow the -NAO blocking episode (around mid Feb) last longer than the previous ones we had earlier this winter.

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[hky1894]

Pretty huge storm signal for this lead time for 2/18-20 with cold in place

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[CNCsnwfan1210]

That STJ though is cranking in the extended

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[Myfrotho704_]

This just looks like a better and colder version of this upcoming weeks look, a more correct longwave pattern with ridge further west, SE can vortex actually nearby, and southern stream undercutting a west ridge instead of a central US ridge

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

This just looks like a better and colder version of this upcoming weeks look, a more correct longwave pattern with ridge further west, SE can vortex actually nearby, and southern stream undercutting a west ridge instead of a central US ridgeView attachment 145017View attachment 145018View attachment 145019

Hopefully that SER bubble will not allow southern waves to get squashed by the northern stream.

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[Mitch West]

This just looks like a better and colder version of this upcoming weeks look, a more correct longwave pattern with ridge further west, SE can vortex actually nearby, and southern stream undercutting a west ridge instead of a central US ridgeView attachment 145017View attachment 145018View attachment 145019

There has definitely been somewhat of a different look evolving on ensembles over the last few model suites.

 

[EmersonGA]

61 and sunny with a good breeze. Got the tractor out and turned over the garden.

 

[Stormlover]

From Chief meteorologist Jason Simpson at WVTM 13 in Birmingham

 

[Myfrotho704_]

There has definitely been somewhat of a different look evolving on ensembles over the last few model suites.

Better to have more a TPV extension into a 50/50 low vs vise versa having a dominant TPV near Hudson Bay, otherwise we run into January

 

[Metwannabe]

How about stop calling each other out, block/ignore, PM one another but leave it out of here please

 

[Flotown]

def gonna have to sit through a couple of cutters before we can get cold

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

A mid-month SSWE looking more likely with each passing day.

ECMWF | Charts

charts.ecmwf.int

 

[rburrel2]

CFS looks pretty good as does the end of the EPS and GEPS. THE GFS/GEFS isn't as pretty but it seems to be the outlier right now. The wait is going to be painful but everything seems on track.

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

CFS looks pretty good as does the end of the EPS and GEPS. THE GFS/GEFS isn't as pretty but it seems to be the outlier right now. The wait is going to be painful but everything seems on track.


View attachment 145060View attachment 145061View attachment 145062
View attachment 145058View attachment 145059

There was a few CMCE members with some cad winter storms and southern waves rolling through the STJ

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[CaryWx]

View attachment 145065

You were saying?

Is this a skewed mean as well in that we are more warmer in the first couple of the 7-day than the last couple?

 

[SD]

FYI drop the whole it's going to be warm or its not bs. Ignore each other or you can all get relegated to the clown thread.

 

[rburrel2]

I think 1300m will approve of the PV location on the 06z GEFS.

February 20th'ish seems like it might be the day for a winter storm; if we get a winter storm.

 

[rburrel2]

Now that's a storm signal...

 

[AJ1013]

Should be an interesting day of weather here…

 

[Metwannabe]

How about stop calling each other out, block/ignore, PM one another but leave it out of here please

Bump and I just deleted a bunch of post. C'mon guys, each of you have knowledge and bring something to the discussion worthwhile but the cold hot, calling each other out (passive-aggressively) diminishes that.