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Wintry February 19-21, 2020 Winter Storm

Brick Tamland said:
Man, I thought it would start a lot earlier than that here. Webber's map still looked good for my backyard, though. I thought it would have to start earlier to get those amounts.
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So a couple of things #1 his totals are we within reason even with rain to start #2 a few hours after the flip should have some moderate to heavy snow. #3 any early change overs are going to be rate driven, its not going to be impossible for someone to our south/east/west to flip while we rain a little longer. #4 we may be looking at snow until 6z and some areas could see 6 plus hours of snow
 
It's a very cold biased model. It would be a massive over-performance if we were to see that much snow here. Right now my upper limit for expectations is if we get something similar to March 2017.


Quoting didn't work so just know this is in reference to the HRF-ARW model run posted above.
 
crecre9 said:
Not as rosy a picture on the Pivotal map.
snku_acc.us_ma.png
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No more maps .. NOWCASTING BABY
 
BirdManDoomW said:
12z cmc pushing some 3” totals far north west into the western Triad/foothills. Some maps could bust on the low side up this way if it’s right.
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Don’t think they will bust on the low side! just look at radar moisture sliding due east not gonna be much around here unfortunately?
 
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