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Wintry February 19-21, 2020 Winter Storm

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To add to an earlier post, here's an animation showing that the HRRR is definitely speeding up the changeover to snow for folks south of the Triangle area. This is like music to the ears of snow lovers in Charlotte, Fayetteville, & Goldsboro, etc. Also starting to increase the potential of snow for parts of the upstate of SC as well.

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I could see the upstate north of 85 being changed over within a couple hours. Still just rain here though
I understand it’s time to look out the window, but for those in the upstate that’s that the run you wanted from the NAM just before an event rolls through, I’m not sure what the issue was there. Maybe @Myfrotho704_ can explain that a little better.
 
Currently it is 37/25 here BUT only 60% humidity. Going to be a while before we can saturate the upper levels with the dry air and see something fall besides flurries. Triad West will lose a lof of this to Virga even though the radar may show precip falling
 
Brad P mentioned that the changeover may be delayed but it looks like the snow will last longer than he previously thought.. interesting trends right now. I mean, if you look back to the West, we still have a lot of moisture to flow through.

BTW, that HRRR was a very interesting run.
 
I guess it's coming even faster than thought. The CAD is breaking the 925 down to freezing as we speak across N GA, so that layer is almost done. 850s crashing almost vertically it appears in N GA.

Yeah. 39 in Clayton rain snow mix (more rain but still see some flakes)


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Brad P mentioned that the changeover may be delayed but it looks like the snow will last longer than he previously thought.. interesting trends right now. I mean, if you look back to the West, we still have a lot of moisture to flow through.

BTW, that HRRR was a very interesting run.
thats why i do think we can get a few flurries tonight
 
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