Wintry February 19-21, 2020 Winter Storm

[crecre9]

What's so bad about there forecast? it's not over doing it and we all know there are surprises in these setups, plus 12z 18z time frame with possible all snow isn't bad. Plus FWIW the gefs came in colder and more snow for areas of north Bama.

I suppose they are being appropriately conservative, but they make no mention whatsoever of accumulations, which is of course what we all want to see. Also, they mention only NW AL and S TN, which does exclude Huntsville. I'm aware of the latest GEFS and that is exciting, but I have a feeling the surface temps are just going to be too high here.

 

[Nerman]

Euro looks to be coming in way north.

 

[Deleted member 1449]

uh oh

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

uh oh

Way north this is going to be fun short range for the win


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Deleted member 1449]

here's the sounding for 18Z tomorrow for the Triad from the EURO. It's close, but it's also solidly in the warmer camp. It's never easy.

 

[Deleted member 1449]

 

[jackendrickwx]

Folded like origami

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Winter Weather Advisories out for TN and NC

 

[Metwannabe]

Not too shabby actually

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Pingers

 

[NCHighCountryWX]

WPC morning updates has shifted north a bit

 

[Deleted member 1449]

Way north this is going to be fun short range for the win


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

It's not north relative to other guidance. It's just warmer.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Not too shabby actually

View attachment 35622

And it's still on the low side, but at least it finally got the general idea.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Looking at medium and long range guidance for something 24 hours out seems .... off


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Advisory for up to 4” with locally higher amounts for western NC

 

[KyloG]

tick tick tick

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Euro looks very realistic with isolated higher amounts across NC

 

[KyloG]

What a shift over the past few runs inside day 3

 

[KyloG]

Euro is definitely picking up on rain to start off...in Raleigh it looks like almost .2" of rain.

 

[BackThePack]

Euro looks very realistic with isolated higher amounts across NC

It also is very close to the GFS in most areas. Both line out a HWY64 special... 2-3 for CLT Metro, 4-6 Sanford to Greenville.

Interesting to watch the Euro come on board so late, probably not the best models to analyze at hour 30, but they still should provide input for forecasters.