• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry Feb 6-8 2022 Winter Potential

SD said:
It was still close to closing it off in the 70s hours. I wouldn't punt yet, maybe if the 0zs come in just as unimpressive
Click to expand...
Oh I don't punt, I never punt as long as there is a coastal I'll always keep an eye on it and have some hope, with that said, the last 3 runs of the ICON were still garbage lol. But it's the ICON, it's been good, it's been bad
 
metwannabe said:
Oh I don't punt, I never punt as long as there is a coastal I'll always keep an eye on it and have some hope, with that said, the last 3 runs of the ICON were still garbage lol. But it's the ICON, it's been good, it's been bad
Click to expand...
Yeah it's not going to take a ton of help to try to fire a band of precip in the Carolinas but we need something more than a positive tilt wave axis. The good thing is we aren't too far away still
 
metwannabe said:
Oh I don't punt, I never punt as long as there is a coastal I'll always keep an eye on it and have some hope, with that said, the last 3 runs of the ICON were still garbage lol. But it's the ICON, it's been good, it's been bad
Click to expand...
and mostly wrong on both spectrums
 
Well it gets negative tilted , somehow and just in time to whip up a 1-3 event across parts of NC/SC


500hv.conus.png


sn10_acc.us_ma.png
 
Garbage trend for our southern stream wave with our storm we’re focusing on. where was this sort of trend with our last storm tho. Lol BDAB696F-0863-4D77-8855-02309790E791.gif
 
whatalife said:
It may be the GFS/GEFS and sure I would love for other models to come on board but to give up on this threat at this pt…IDKView attachment 112418
Click to expand...
I guess it depends on the definition of give up. I think that's a reasonable map of what could fall from the sky. Factor in warm ground, less than 10:1 ratios most likely and you basically can get a dusting to maybe a half inch or even one inch in a few lucky spots. I guess for snow-starved areas that haven't seen much, it's at least something. The ceiling for some larger event is all but gone though IMO.
 
People in Georgia and Carolinas would have been happy with that GEFS mean before the last couple of weeks. Still a signal, and I think the darker shades are where the ensemble is probably getting the better moisture return, versus losing the cold. #notdeadyet
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top