Wintry Feb. 19-20

[superjames1992]

03z SREF is coming in more juiced. LOL. I know these suck but just throwing some hopium out there, and a decent chance that the 06z NAM will improve as it often follows the maddening SREF.

SREF-NMB 03z run:




21z run:

 

[CLOTT01]

I’m at 1620 feet on monte sano near Huntsville waiting for flakes which are close temp is 29/24 - would be surprised if we don’t get a couple of inches here

 

[iGRXY]

I’m down to 32/23 with probably no moisture availability

 

[Ethan80963]

Based on obs from rock hill airport (skip south of CLT) we may be quite a bit ahead of schedule (assuming it’s accurate) 32/28 80% humidity and clear skies. GSP says we’re meant to be at 35 with about 60% humidity and partly cloudy. Not supposed to reach our current numbers till about 9am ie: go time. This could be wishful thinking but I am holding hope models continue to beef up precip and temps keep tracking lower than forecast. I’m quite desperate if it’s not obvious

 

[mx3gsr92]

00z EPS is basically identical to the 18z EPS, just slightly west/improved if you squint. 3-4” for Raleigh, 2-3” for Durham, 1-1.5” for CLT and GSO, 2.5-3.5” for RIC, 8”+ for Moyock taking clowns at face value.

I've been told that TWC is sending Cantore south and renaming the storm "The Moyock Mauler". . Find out more tomorrow!

 

[SimeonNC]

34.8/27.2 73%

 

[olhausen]

About an inch and a half so far!

 

[NCwx1992]

doesnt feel great that the radar is showing snow (prob virga right now, ofc) entering SW Virginia right now whilst NC remains a total "you shall not pass zone" ... can't even pass knoxville, it seems

 

[jrips27]

Snow line dropping into Florence Alabama

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Not trying to be that guy, but the moisture looks more impressive then the HRRR initialization and hr 1, and most-all is reaching the ground in MS/AR

 

[interestedclimatist]

Not trying to be that guy, but the moisture looks more impressive then the HRRR initialization and hr 1, and most-all is reaching the ground in MS/AR

HRRR improved this run as well

 

[Pops]

Snowing here just northwest of Florence Al albeit light

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Man that upper level trough driven snow means business on the HRRR

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Impressive stuff here. Perhaps we see some snow squall warnings around Thursday morning the upper level trough by itself pulls the CLT metro and north near 2” of snow

 

[Meteorologist1999]

Man that upper level trough driven snow means business on the HRRR View attachment 170639

Somebody in midlands of SC could see 2-3 in with upper level trough. Could be CAE @Mitch West

 

[Meteorologist1999]

Man that upper level trough driven snow means business on the HRRR View attachment 170639

Look at heavy returns around CAE.

 

[HDGator]

06Z Nam coming in dry.
Even Moyock losing mojo.

 

[SimeonNC]

06Z Nam coming in dry.
Even Moyock losing mojo.

View attachment 170644

View attachment 170645

The 06z NAM was actually wetter compared to the 00z, at least out west, there is just a ton more mixing in the eastern sections

 

[Six Mile Wx]

The area of low pressure in the Gulf looks to weaken on the Euro about 6:00am and doesn’t start strengthening again until 12:00pm just before it crosses over Florida. This could be the reason for the falloff of moisture in the upstate. If the low stays stronger longer the upstate may get a little more moisture to work with.

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Six Mile Wx]

The weather channels future radar (in house model) has returns for my area, starting at 8:00am. Likely to be Virga.

 

[Six Mile Wx]

 

[HDGator]

It may not be hitting the ground yet but it's coming across the mountains.

 

[HDGator]

Huntsville Nexrad.

 

[NCSNOW]

Hope the finger band survives across mtn. Be a major win. No model has it making it.

 

[CLOTT01]

Can confirm this is all snow - heavy at times


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[CLOTT01]

Just east of Huntsville


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[SimeonNC]

You can see the CAD signature already.

 

[HDGator]

Hope the finger band survives across mtn. Be a major win. No model has it making it.

I wasn't expecting to see that much on the radar coming across the mountains; but there it was.
I don't think much if anything survives to the ground; I hope it's priming the pump by getting some moisture in the column.

Maybe that will get us a show later today.

 

[SimeonNC]

Will a potential stronger CAD signature than modeled change anything with the storm?

 

[Triplephase93]

Snowing good in Chattanooga but temps at 33. Around a quarter to half inch.

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

Already starting to see precip break out in the Wilmington CWA


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[SimeonNC]

Snowing good in Chattanooga but temps at 33. Around a quarter to half inch.

You weren't any under advisories at first if I can recall, interesting choice

 

[Triplephase93]

You weren't any under advisories at first if I can recall, interesting choice

Nope. Had them north, south, east and west of here.

 

[CLOTT01]

We’ve got an inch + on top of monte sano. N Al


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[HDGator]

Looks like it's coming down with a few fat flakes in Huntsville.

https://www.iplivecams.com/live-cams/memorial-parkway-huntsville-alabama-united-states/

 

[ChattaVOL]

Nice dusting in Chattanooga. Coming down at a good rate now


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[SimeonNC]

This is interesting.

 

[Ross]

Half inch already in Richmond??

Like 4 hours ahead of schedule

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

Just rain right now with this band moving north, but this is a little early imo


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