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Wintry Feb. 19-20

We need this thing to keep trending further south you know there will most likely be an inevitable trend north and west at go time.
 
One thing I will say anecdotally is that this is almost exactly the same time out (~100 hours) when the Euro had that off run with the last event that duped basically everyone including me. It's been steadily trending towards this at H5 so we'll see if it continues, but it would be wise to not get too excited unless we see another step like this at 18/00z.
 
Verbatim though that’s a big hit for snow for GSO-HCK/RC and frosty, front end snow > sleet storm from Charlotte > raleigh and probably ZR in fay to cae
Even a big front end hit for the artist formerly known as metwannabe too 😁
 
One thing I will say anecdotally is that this is almost exactly the same time out (~100 hours) when the Euro had that off run with the last event that duped basically everyone including me. It's been steadily trending towards this at H5 so we'll see if it continues, but it would be wise to not get too excited unless we see another step like this at 18/00z.
agreed but isn't there a little more support this time around from other models
 
Huge eps run wow! This is at hour 120 still going
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We’re getting close to those runs from several days ago where the southern stream wave runs across west to east on its own.

That pacific trough helping to suck back the northern stream cut off.

Love to see it, and oddly it’s something none of the models were really advertising for the last few days.
 
We’re getting close to those runs from several days ago where the southern stream wave runs across west to east on its own.

That pacific trough helping to suck back the northern stream cut off.

Love to see it, and oddly it’s something none of the models were really advertising for the last few days.
Yeah seems as if we’re getting more confluence on the EPS, then the wave crashing on the west coast is not allowing the northern lobe to amp and dig like prior runs (which increases WAA for us), and it leaves the southern wave alone more, the big runs for this one days ago had the southern wave left alone while we had strong confluence. Just like that last near miss, seems as if we want our southern wave more free, and this time more confluence. Would love to see it continue
 
One thing I will say anecdotally is that this is almost exactly the same time out (~100 hours) when the Euro had that off run with the last event that duped basically everyone including me. It's been steadily trending towards this at H5 so we'll see if it continues, but it would be wise to not get too excited unless we see another step like this at 18/00z.
Yeah and with the ukie being more amped and inland, it gives me a slight pause. I've been and remain cautiously optimistic but refrain from full on excitement until it's still trending/showing this tomorrow at 12z
 
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