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Misc Fall - End of 2019 Whamby

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Ilovesnow28 said:
I wish i had enough money to stay up north during the winter every year
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Nobody could pay me enough money to ever move up to the N US at any time of year. Now Colorado could possibly be different although still doubtful as I like living in the SE in general. I have enjoyed summer trips to CO though AC makes the SE heat and humidity tolerable.
 
Shawn said:
the SER can actually help get wintry weather. it's just a fine line. down where we are, it usually ends up in sleet/ice though.

higher heights in the se aren't always bad. it's just where they are.
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I think it could make a difference between dry arctic cold and overrunning snow/ice if we ever get lucky enough for it to help.
 
Shawn said:
I wish the board would be happier for Tennessee.. its not the time of the year for the deep south right now.
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I’m definitely happy I’ve got something to track this Tuesday as far as winter weather goes. This could be the first accumulating snow in December since 2010! At a minimum it looks to be the 3rd dusting or more of snow this year (one in NOV 0.4 inches, And one in dec very minor ) which is rare territory even up here in northern Tennessee. Most years I don’t see my first dusting until mid to late December.
 
Snow cancel for sure now

Tuesday
Cloudy with rain likely with a chance of snow in the morning...then partly sunny in the afternoon. Little or no snow accumulation. Much cooler with highs in the lower 40s. North winds 10 to 15 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

Should a complete transition to snowfall occur and persist for a
couple of hours at any given location, then some minor
accumulations would be possible on surfaces like grass,
vehicles, and rooftops. At most, a slick spot on a bridge or two
could be a possibility, but overall, impacts from any wintry
weather should be little to none.
 
Brent said:
Snow cancel for sure now

Tuesday
Cloudy with rain likely with a chance of snow in the morning...then partly sunny in the afternoon. Little or no snow accumulation. Much cooler with highs in the lower 40s. North winds 10 to 15 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

Should a complete transition to snowfall occur and persist for a
couple of hours at any given location, then some minor
accumulations would be possible on surfaces like grass,
vehicles, and rooftops. At most, a slick spot on a bridge or two
could be a possibility, but overall, impacts from any wintry
weather should be little to none.
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#winning soft
 
This is from a poster at american in the southeast forum:
"Just looking at the Euro/Berlin strat site,I see the QBO forecast to switch to easterly in 5-7 days at 30hpa at the equator.That's pretty significant.

Sooner the better because it's going to take a while to bust up that strong PV that's running pretty strong at the moment,least a month or so to feel any effects."
 
Golf7575 said:
This is from a poster at american in the southeast forum:
"Just looking at the Euro/Berlin strat site,I see the QBO forecast to switch to easterly in 5-7 days at 30hpa at the equator.That's pretty significant.

Sooner the better because it's going to take a while to bust up that strong PV that's running pretty strong at the moment,least a month or so to feel any effects."
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A month would be around the time a few of use expected to see this start turning in favor for us. I’m good with that.


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GaWx said:
That’s what @pcbjr has been repeatedly telling us. He’s setting up himself for major kudos should we get this kind of January. Should this happen, we may need to take his seasonal predictions more seriously.
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Hot seat, Larry ... somewhere in there I said that if wrong, the Magic 8 Ball and the Crystal Ball go to the garbage ... ;)

Wish I could join the current conversations, but work is a full time job (non-sequitur?) through the 20th, and by then we may have either woolly mammoths or brontosaurus roaming the SE corridor ... depends on the next model run I suppose - warm or cold ... LOL ... :eek:
 
I'm feeling more and more confident that KATL will not see one freezing temperature this month, which I would think would be a record.
 
Hoar frost on top of Sugar Mountain this morning, hated to leave
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J.C. said:
I'm feeling more and more confident that KATL will not see one freezing temperature this month, which I would think would be a record.
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Wow, that's bold! You're correct because the warmest coldest of Dec on record was 31 in 1931. There were 6 Decembers with 30 as the coldest. Records go back to 1878.
 
I won’t see frozen stuff but I have 12/14 days with over a 40% chance of rain with 3-6in totals. I’ll take that.


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Honestly as pathetic as it sounds the idea of having the late week storm to track was one of the only bright spots in my life lately, since I'm kinda going through a lot and now that is gone I'm very bummed out tbh.

Yeah ik it's early-mid December and there's that Tennessee storm but I'm still kinda demoralized and stuff.



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SimeonNC said:
Honestly as pathetic as it sounds the idea of having the late week storm to track was one of the only bright spots in my life lately, since I'm kinda going through a lot and now that is gone I'm very bummed out tbh.

Yeah ik it's early-mid December and there's that Tennessee storm but I'm still kinda demoralized and stuff.



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Give it 7-10 days. I’m sure the GFS will pop some crazy fake storm around Christmas or New Years because she always does.


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SimeonNC said:
Honestly as pathetic as it sounds the idea of having the late week storm to track was one of the only bright spots in my life lately, since I'm kinda going through a lot and now that is gone I'm very bummed out tbh.

Yeah ik it's early-mid December and there's that Tennessee storm but I'm still kinda demoralized and stuff.



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I still remember how great early December looked at one point lol

and yes I know I have a chance of snow Tuesday but this pattern is really awful
 
As much as I'm disappointed that I'm likely not going to get another pre Christmas snowfall this year, it's ok. Its not suppose to happen much. And historically for my area when it does snow in December the following January we get blanked 90% of the time. And I'm sure most areas in the se are the same. I'd rather get snow in January and early Feb since it seems to last longer. I just hope this isn't a year where we chase a favorable pattern that never comes. Chasing false pattern changes have become a thing lately.
 
Snowless & Grumpy said:
As much as I'm disappointed that I'm likely not going to get another pre Christmas snowfall this year, it's ok. Its not suppose to happen much. And historically for my area when it does snow in December the following January we get blanked 90% of the time. And I'm sure most areas in the se are the same. I'd rather get snow in January and early Feb since it seems to last longer. I just hope this isn't a year where we chase a favorable pattern that never comes. Chasing false pattern changes have become a thing lately.
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Like last year, aka "the winter that never did"?
 
I'm in my mid-40s now but I grew up chasing storms and rumors of storms. It always seemed like on balance the best ones happened later in the winter for the Atlanta area, That's why the December 2017 one was such a pleasant surprise.
 
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