Been a pretty classic stretch of winter. No complaints. It’s time to ?Weenie roast, county version View attachment 113563View attachment 113564View attachment 113565View attachment 113566
Been a pretty classic stretch of winter. No complaints. It’s time to ?Weenie roast, county version View attachment 113563View attachment 113564View attachment 113565View attachment 113566
Low in the gulfMaybe winter will give it another try. The frozen seems to be headed south at 384.
End of the GEFS ran much colder and more fun .. it’s fantasy land but an interesting development that may be due to that PV stretch it was showing on the 00z run. Can only be monitored right now as the warmth is INBOUND mostly low humidity though so it should be a well deserved break from the cold January we had
Dipped to 19.4 just before sunrise22 this morning
Idk some of the modeled looks for early March could do it23 here this morning. Have to wonder each time we get this low, will it get this cold again this winter.
18 a few miles from ya. Wasn't expecting it to be colder than last night.19.6degF here this am. Honestly, I didn't expect it to get this cold. Very frosty, too.
Larry, when is climo's last gasp in late Feb? We missed out on Valentine's day, but I recall there is another period after the 20th, and there are at least two places where cold and the gulf dance semi close together in the long range. Thanks.The 0Z EPS is also colder late in the run. So whereas the warmup for next week is still there, what's different is that its end can already be seen now in the 0Z runs before March starts. It will be interesting to see what they have for their new MJO forecasts.
On another subject, my January 17th forecast for -3 or colder Feb 1-14 at both RDU and ATL failed badly:
Actual RDU: ~+1.5
Actual ATL: ~+1.2