Pattern Failbruary Thread

[griteater]

Spring is almost here says 12Z GEFS!

View attachment 112598

15 run temperature trend loop for hr288 on GEFS

 

[iGRXY]

Nothing like a nice 47 degree day with rain and fog to get things shaking.

 

[griteater]

GEFS 5 day pattern average for Feb 10-15 vs. Jan 13-31 pattern average

 

[WxGSO]

Still hasn't cracked 50degF here, but should soon. The contrast is causing some light fog, too.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

GEFS 5 day pattern average for Feb 10-15 vs. Jan 13-31 pattern average

Sheesh this is scary similar

 

[WxGSO]

GEFS 5 day pattern average for Feb 10-15 vs. Jan 13-31 pattern average

Carbon copy and we know what happened. I fully expect some southern energy to slide across the SE sometime in the next couple of weeks and cause mischief.

 

[Rain Cold]

Not too worried about precip. Cold signal is pretty good. We'll get a few waves dropping in from time to time. QC in trouble

 

[dsaur]

Spring is around the corner in the SE per the 12Z GFS!

View attachment 112584

Actually, ensemble means have been suggesting one of the coldest airmasses of the season to date plunging into the SE near midmonth.

I haven't been below 20 yet, and even the worst winter here recently I got a 17 one night.

 

[BullCityWx]

Wedge front just blew through up at the house.

Not too worried about precip. Cold signal is pretty good. We'll get a few waves dropping in from time to time. QC in trouble

Like i said bruh, take my money

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Euro is slowly trending to the GEFS for wanting to drag that TPV down, that AK donut is the only issue

 

[NEGaweather]

Tennessee has had a good bit of snow this winter.

Here in NE Ga the storm 3 weeks ago was nice. 7 inches iby and still patches in the shade yesterday lol


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[KyloG]

Who you got...GEFS or EPS. Day 8-9...quite a difference with temps.

 

[Arcc]

Well that is close to being interesting.

 

[SD]

Who you got...GEFS or EPS. Day 8-9...quite a difference with temps.

View attachment 112611View attachment 112612

Depends if we can wave break and flex that weak -nao signature. I'd lean eps mainly because I'm an eps truther but we have seen it water down small details around D10 in the mean more than once this winter and then have to "trend" toward the gefs

 

[mrdaddyman]

Who you got...GEFS or EPS. Day 8-9...quite a difference with temps.

View attachment 112611View attachment 112612

Whichever one is the warmest.

Edit: GEPS looks like it's about in the middle.

 

[Arcc]

Well that is close to being interesting.

Some EPS members hinting at playing around with some big time fire in this period.

 

[smast16]

Spot the gradient?

KINT (Smith Reynolds)


KGSO (Piedmont Triad)

 

[smast16]

Spot the gradient?

KINT (Smith Reynolds)
View attachment 112632

KGSO (Piedmont Triad)

View attachment 112633
View attachment 112631

Editing to Add KBUY (Burlington, Ollie)

44 Miles from Winston; and 25 from Greensboro

 

[pcbjr]

What an amazing and somewhat unique set-up (front, precip ...) ...

 

[SASQUATCH]

Look at that drop! #ArcticFront