Pattern Failbruary Thread

[MichaelJ]

Febulous

 

[Claycochaser]

28 days hater

 

[Mr. Golf]

Myfrotho, do you still think we will get another jet extension in February?

 

[Tarheel1]

Come to papa!

 

[smast16]

FunFilled SER February!

 

[Tagat]

SERburary

 

[NWMSGuy]

Lots of different memorable moments in February from Severe Weather to Ice Storms. I’ll go with “Flashback February”.

 

[GaWx]

The 12Z GEFS along with its 0Z mainly inside the circle MJO prediction tells me that my -3 F for ATL and RDU for 2/1-14 has a legit shot:

 

[GaWx]

The cold on here (12Z GEFS) is likely overdone but still this is good to see:

 

[BirdManDoomW]

I could see a blizzard near the 1st of Feb maybe a day or so prior just gotta wait and see. 15% chance. Otherwise seasonal and not many snow chances just yet.

 

[Flo]

Going to do something a little different this month. You can post 1 name suggestion through Thursday morning. At that point I'll pick a random poster to pick their favorite 10 and those will go into the vote.

Whatever it is I want 2/12/10 again. 10 inches in Aiken. I think that was the date. Still the best snow I’ve ever witnessed. Started and ended with big flakes nonstop for I think 11-12 hrs.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This looks familiar near AK. Feels like we did this early in jan

 

[OHnoSnow]

Flopruray
ETA: Fretruary, FRAMruary, Flameruary, Feeble February

 

[Bham 99]

Flammable feb

 

[SD]

So who wants to pick their favorite 10 choices?

 

[packfan98]

February Hangover

 

[Cad Wedge NC]

So who wants to pick their favorite 10 choices?

I am too scared to pick 'em. Might jinx the whole winter.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This is depressing, mean highs are getting close to 60 during the warmest period

 

[FallsLake]

So who wants to pick their favorite 10 choices?

I think packfan98 has it right with "February Hangover"; especially if we end up tracking another even for this weekend. If so, I think there are going to be a lot of us pulling for Fro's depressing news above.

 

[accu35]

Febuworry

 

[atlwx]

Failuary, SickOfNorthCarolinuary, Torchuary, Torturary, Suckuary, HeatMiserIsYourValentineuary, FrickinSnowAlreadyuary, Boozeuary, Lameuary, Flopuary

 

[Mr. Golf]

This looks familiar near AK. Feels like we did this early in jan View attachment 109635

Do you think we can get that jet extension to shake up the pattern later?

 

[Heelyes]

Frouary?

 

[SD]

@HSVweather you have been chosen to give you favorite 10 names submitted to be put into the monthly vote for the Feb thread name. You can list them here, pm them to me, or pass. Let me know

 

[HSVweather]

@HSVweather you have been chosen to give you favorite 10 names submitted to be put into the monthly vote for the Feb thread name. You can list them here, pm them to me, or pass. Let me know

Thanks!! I’ll go back through and send it to you soon.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Gefs ext basically says February is a lost nina cause, and you can start seeing signs of the SPV weakening at the end of its run, signs that spring is indeed coming

 

[Wildboutsnow]

We need an eye roll emolji.....

 

[LickWx]

Gefs ext basically says February is a lost nina cause, and you can start seeing signs of the SPV weakening at the end of its run, signs that spring is indeed coming View attachment 110024View attachment 110025View attachment 110026

Good news , if that’s the case , and I mean you better guarantee this for me fro … I’m 100% in on the weekend blizzard . Where do I sign ?

 

[Rain Cold]

Gefs ext basically says February is a lost nina cause, and you can start seeing signs of the SPV weakening at the end of its run, signs that spring is indeed coming View attachment 110024View attachment 110025View attachment 110026

Yep, heard that all December about January, outside of a good 10, maybe if we're really really really lucky, a 14 day period. Enjoy your few days of winter because ya know 2nd year ninas strat pv torque extensions tropical convection going to stay in a bad spot -Aamtq mountain spin unwelling volcanoes detonating solar flare induction winter's over.

 

[SD]

Yep, heard that all December about January, outside of a good 10, maybe if we're really really really lucky, a 14 day period. Enjoy your few days of winter because ya know 2nd year ninas strat pv torque extensions tropical convection going to stay in a bad spot -Aamtq mountain spin unwelling volcanoes detonating solar flare induction winter's over.

2011-12

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Yep, heard that all December about January, outside of a good 10, maybe if we're really really really lucky, a 14 day period. Enjoy your few days of winter because ya know 2nd year ninas strat pv torque extensions tropical convection going to stay in a bad spot -Aamtq mountain spin unwelling volcanoes detonating solar flare induction winter's over.

I was actually one of the people vouching for a colder pattern change in January lol

 

[RBR71]

Ahem

Misc - 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

Well folks, it’s already meteorological fall, the autumnal equinox is nearing, and the first GFS fantasy mountain snow has fallen. Time to transition!

southernwx.com

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The Ensembles however want to try to move that semi-permanent okhotsk low and budge in east towards the Aleutians towards week 2 in Feb, but the GOA ridge is just plain ugly

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Gefs ext basically says February is a lost nina cause, and you can start seeing signs of the SPV weakening at the end of its run, signs that spring is indeed coming View attachment 110024View attachment 110025View attachment 110026

Nah this means march Mayhem!!

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

February thaw or CAD ice storms? SER is flexing her chops too .. sheesh fantasy land though right ?

 

[GaWx]

When the extended maps are starting to look really butt ugly again, I know the dreaded -PNA is returning.

 

[iGRXY]

Nothing like a February roast to signal spring just for the pattern to switch right back to cold for March and April but not cold enough for snow.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

 

[weatherfide]

When the extended maps are starting to look really butt ugly again, I know the dreaded -PNA is returning.

I'm thinking we are in a 25 to 30 day cycle, generally. I am confident the trough will shift to the west in February and we will generally ridge. The question is how strong will the ridge be? There still could be chances for winter weather during the transition and if the -NAO returns.

 

[Rain Cold]

View attachment 110115

I was thinking that the later frames of the 6z GFS didn't look too bad, although I didn't look at the surface. It certainly didn't make me feel like winter was over.