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Pattern Failbruary Thread

NCSNOW said:
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I wouldn't really call my area in Southern Louisiana as being in a severe drought right now. Most of the local nature trails are waterlogged, and my backyard is still wet. So that's a no from me. My area can take this kind of drought without damaging the local ecosystem. I can't speak for other areas though.
 
griteater said:
Nice trends on the GEFS for mid month. Western ridge moving east. PV dropping south in E Canada. Ridging nosing into Greenland to slow things down a touch. Like Fro said the other day, it's gotta get cold in order for it to snow.

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End of the euro looked good too. Ridging shifting east on the west coast. Ridging also building over Greenland. This mid-month pattern is looking very interesting.
 
griteater said:
Nice trends on the GEFS for mid month. Western ridge moving east. PV dropping south in E Canada. Ridging nosing into Greenland to slow things down a touch. Like Fro said the other day, it's gotta get cold in order for it to snow.

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I REALLY like this look for a storm to pop. A bit more ridging over GL would be ideal, but beggars can't be choosers
 
I’m guessing there is not many posters around the midsouth area because portions of the midsouth including Memphis is about to go under a ice storm warning with significant accumulations possible
 
Curious if we took a poll real quick. Who thinks their backyard is done or not done for the winter.
Ill chalk up not done for mine. And this is with NOTTA showing for it on any models currently.
 
NCSNOW said:
Curious if we took a poll real quick. Who thinks their backyard is done or not done for the winter.
Ill chalk up not done for mine. And this is with NOTTA showing for it on any models currently.
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I hope I’m wrong but I feel like I’m done here. Primetime only goes for what, ten more days?
 
NCSNOW said:
Curious if we took a poll real quick. Who thinks their backyard is done or not done for the winter.
Ill chalk up not done for mine. And this is with NOTTA showing for it on any models currently.
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Put me in the "nothing surprises me anymore" category. I'm leaning toward not done, but time will tell.
 
Poimen said:
Put me in the "nothing surprises me anymore" category. I'm leaning toward not done, but time will tell.
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I tend to agree with this for my area. Even with nothing specific showing in the models the next 10 days… the cold air looks to at least be close enough for the whole period to see something pop up. I’m above climo for the first in 8 years so I wouldn’t be suprised if I was done, but I also wouldn’t be suprised to see more
 
However, please don't anyone post the GFS past three days, it is tragic how bad it is. According to the GFS on 6-7 day runs, I was supposed to be up to 52" by now and I have ~7". Maybe we should just ban maps over 84 hours and start tracking only then if it and one other model (like the EURO) show something, deal? After all it is not really tracking past this time frame, it is more like wish-dreaming
 
BullCityWx said:
Oh it’s definitely a good time for snow, I’ve just found the events after Valentine’s Day to be of lower quality snow wise.
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However from about 2/10 on, it seems that you have a better chance at a big dog if you get a storm. I’ve experienced some great storm in late February into March
 
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