March P1 is certainly a wintry look across the south. MJO been doing work, why not continue? (Here's your hopium @WolfpackHomer91!)
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Pattern Failboat February
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
March 7-8, we ride again!!! It will create its own cold air and the precip field will adjust west!!! 
That’s a tick away from another Moyock mauler.March 7-8, we ride again!!! It will create its own cold air and the precip field will adjust west!!!
View attachment 171198
I’d hang it up
tennessee storm
Member
More nuetral. There. Second week march heads negative
PNA stays positive for most of the extended range
End of the graph if it’s right
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Indeed. Nailed it
Gun to head, the northern mid-Atlantic into New England would likely be favored for any event that occurs there. BUT it is a long way out, so things could trend favorably in the cold air dept. for more of us. We'll just have to watch it.
No more please 
Tsappfrog20
Member
In watching the Pac Jet in recent winters, this is one of the most abrupt jet retractions I've seen (on both GEFS and EPS). I would assume this leads to the pattern becoming more wavy and stormy and upper low-y...and eventually the action moving west (ski trip out west for mid/late March?). Think we'll need to try and cash in before that if there is any cold air to be found (as others have mentioned)....but paging other opinions regarding the abrupt jet retraction.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
In watching the Pac Jet in recent winters, this is one of the most abrupt jet retractions I've seen (on both GEFS and EPS). I would assume this leads to the pattern becoming more wavy and stormy and upper low-y...and eventually the action moving west (ski trip out west for mid/late March?). Think we'll need to try and cash in before that if there is any cold air to be found (as others have mentioned)....but paging other opinions regarding the abrupt jet retraction.
MJO forcing orbiting back into the Indian Ocean & Maritime Continent with a big negative East Asia Mountain Torque (low SLP over the east slopes of the Tibet Plateau) lends itself to a big pacific jet retraction as it runs out of viable westerly momentum sources to keep it amped up. Probably will see a sudden pattern shift to a -PNA/SE ridge around mid-month, because it will take a little time for the downstream wave guide to fully adjust.
This year will certainly reinforce the paradigm of March "coming in like a lion" then "out like a lamb"
tennessee storm
Member
See any favorable severe weather pattern setting up by sometimes in march ? Especially western half the south ?
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Yeah, these thoughts were wrong, it's too late for me to check, but my dad was wondering yesterday if whether the cold front was 6 hours late?
25 at the house and 22 in the low lying area near the airport.
Actually getting fairly close to similar averages to February last year after a very warm start.
JHS
Member
I think it's all farther west this year, in tornado alley. Drought is going to be the story from New Orleans and Memphis through the Carolinas this spring and summer. Actually, this will probably be for I-40 and south from coast to coast.
tennessee storm
Member
ForsythSnow
Moderator
I say give me one good shot since we need something to fill the middle N GA snow hole. Only 1.5" for the winter and 2 screw storms
LickWx
Member
Looks like downeast avoided those severe lows, seeing low 20s mostly, . Greenville hit 19 far cry from forecasted 11.
Lake Wheeler (Raleigh) 21.6 ( same as RDU )
Pitt 19
Roxboro 14
Oxford econet 20.5
Roanoke rapid econet 19
Williamston econet 21.2
I like econet
Lake Wheeler (Raleigh) 21.6 ( same as RDU )
Pitt 19
Roxboro 14
Oxford econet 20.5
Roanoke rapid econet 19
Williamston econet 21.2
I like econet
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packfan98
Moderator
19 here this morning. This winter has been a great departure from our recent warm and wet winters where we struggled to get below freezing at night. I’m afraid it hasn’t been cold enough to deter the fire ants, but I’m sure that spending so much time below freezing this winter will have some positive effects.
Low of 17.7 this morning. Nice!
WolfpackHomer91
Member
20 here this AM on the urban Heat Island of Mooresville NC . smh 
However I saw a few Western Rowan Readings out in the Rural spots at 18
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However I saw a few Western Rowan Readings out in the Rural spots at 18
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18. Bye bye teens for maybe the rest of 2025.
Unless we get a deep snow cover
weather bubba
Member
At my house near Lake Wheeler it got down to 21.8. My outdoor sensor must be working well. I'm a little surprised it didn't get a little colder than it did, I was expecting upper teens.
LickWx
Member
Me too it was clear calm all night surprised lows busted high down east
tennessee storm
Member
good thing,
Still very cold on the mountain this morning with snow covered side roads and black ice. Main roads clear. 50 when I hit I-85 in Spartanburg. Elevation stands the test of time.
Not going to work out for winter weather lovers with a clipper ruining any chance of cold air being in play, but still some support for a strong coastal to close out the month.
WEATHERBOYROY
Member
Got a little colder than I expected last night in ......23degrees in Pinson/Palmerdale Alabama
Brent
Member
What a way to end February especially after the last couple weeks here... We still have snow on the ground. Not even a below freezing low after this morning showing up!! We didn't get above freezing til yesterday morning at 1030
Of course last February ended with highs in the 80s
Of course last February ended with highs in the 80s
weather bubba
Member
The temperature has taken off like it has booster rockets this morning. At 7:00 AM it was 28 degrees here at the house near Lake Wheeler and at 10:30 AM it is 47 degrees. Today will feel very comfortable and I'm looking forward to a break from the cold. If we get one more winter weather event this year that is all well and good but if we don't then bring on the spring weather.
LickWx
Member
Up to forecast highs already before noon, overperformer! Great day
LickWx
Member
Big over-performer, forecasts had like 53 or so with NAM sitting at like 48… it’s 58. Next week every day will prolly be 60 or higher! Love the weather, even if gets cold it’s not January anymore the rebound will be quicker and warmer
Yeah honestly it looks like for the next several weeks it typical late winter in the Carolinas. Warm then cold then warm then cold until a more permanent warm patter takes hold mid March
27 this morning still had some snow left on the drive to work
LickWx
Member
Avalanche
Member
Feb leaving warmer. It was a decent winter for Chatham. 2 inches of snow and a little sleet and freezing rain out of three events. Not too bad!!!
Monthly anomalies MTD:
GSO: -0.2
FAY: +1.1
RDU: +1.6
RDU with the warmest anomalies as always. All locations are assured to end the month above normal, in any case. But it just goes to show cold anomalies and snow don’t always coincide with each other as we will end up with close to double January’s snowfall despite January being in the freezer and February ending above normal in the temperature department. Of course, if you’re in Moyock you can score in either regime. The new Roxboro, they can score in any pattern.
Curious how much longer the last patches of snow can persist in the shade. I’d guess they’ll be gone today or tomorrow. However, the neighbors down the street whose front yard is fully shaded this time of year also plowed their driveway and I think their plowed piles could stick around for another week. When I was younger and had a more shaded yard, I used to try to plow the driveway in such a way to maximize the snow piles so it would stick around longer. In my current place, the front yard gets a lot of sun, so there’s not a lot I can do to keep persistent snow piles from driveway plowing. I plowed the driveway right after the storm ended last Wednesday, but the last bit of my piles melted away last night. Of course, my driveway, being south facing to an extent, probably only accumulated an inch or two of snow to start with since it was so warm and it was melting underneath as the snow fell.
GSO: -0.2
FAY: +1.1
RDU: +1.6
RDU with the warmest anomalies as always. All locations are assured to end the month above normal, in any case. But it just goes to show cold anomalies and snow don’t always coincide with each other as we will end up with close to double January’s snowfall despite January being in the freezer and February ending above normal in the temperature department. Of course, if you’re in Moyock you can score in either regime. The new Roxboro, they can score in any pattern.
Curious how much longer the last patches of snow can persist in the shade. I’d guess they’ll be gone today or tomorrow. However, the neighbors down the street whose front yard is fully shaded this time of year also plowed their driveway and I think their plowed piles could stick around for another week. When I was younger and had a more shaded yard, I used to try to plow the driveway in such a way to maximize the snow piles so it would stick around longer. In my current place, the front yard gets a lot of sun, so there’s not a lot I can do to keep persistent snow piles from driveway plowing. I plowed the driveway right after the storm ended last Wednesday, but the last bit of my piles melted away last night. Of course, my driveway, being south facing to an extent, probably only accumulated an inch or two of snow to start with since it was so warm and it was melting underneath as the snow fell.
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