Euro Weeklies from 7 days ago vs. today for Feb 18 to 25 (850mb Temps)
Euro Weeklies from 7 days ago vs. today for Mar 2 to 9 (850mb Temps)
Euro Weeklies from 7 days ago vs. today for Mar 2 to 9 (850mb Temps)
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Pattern Failboat February
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Screw it let’s rage
The effects of MJO Phase 8 finally showing up.
rburrel2
Member
That's a pretty incredible arctic block. You'd think we couldn't screw that look up down the road with mjo going favorable.
Don’t recall one forming so clean and annular like that with the AK / Scandi combo. Now to get it closer in time, drop south, and with Pacific side help
rburrel2
Member
This looks like it's gonna be burger boomy in a few more frames.
CAE says just hold my beer and watch
rburrel2
Member
Have mercy
Cad Wedge NC
Member
850's are good. the surface is a little too warm.
rburrel2
Member
If the arctic block breaks down by hooking up with a WC ridge thanks to MJO forcing... we will get a monster East coast storm and crazy cold afterwards, imo. Finally got an operational run to show that just now. That's what we need to root for.
rburrel2
Member
Sorta strange how "weak" the GFS was with that storm considering the 500mb evolution. I would have expected a sub 970mb nuke going up the east coast.
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Cad Wedge NC
Member
Might see that in future runs.
SnowNiner
Member
rburrel2
Member
Yea, a storm in this time frame is probably going to be a table-setter, but the if the arctic block retrogrades/congeals cleanly with a pumping west coast ridge, we could score in this time frame too I think. Basically like this run just showed.
I'm still interested in the pattern going forward but until we pull the vortex through and establish the 50/50 in the north Atlantic it's a cutter/wedge party. It's weird that the last years we've had these -naos with the best -anoms over the upper mid west and central Canada. Maybe it's that way a lot and I just don't pay enough attention
It’s a wonderful May evening here in Central SC. AC running. Kids outside playing with shorts & short sleeves. Touch of humidity. Heck, it’s almost the 4th of July.
Heck even pop up showers in my area southern midlands. Clouds building fast, nice ole May Day.
SnowNiner
Member
The ensembles seem to agree on a clean congeal of the west coast and Atlantic ridge around the 16th, then a river of cold air flows SE all the way to us, which is great.
But after that we lose ridging in AK so the cold hangs to the north because we get ridgy along the south of the US. More of a N pacific flow rather than polar flow maybe. I don’t know, who knows. Just wait and see I guess.
Probably going to see some flood watches go up next week for much of TN, AL, and GA.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
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Under a moderate drought up here! Hope that changes before we hit summer! La Nina’s are known for droughty summers in the Midwest
thanksgivingbrown
Member
You don't see many TV mets show a 336 GFS run.
iGRXY
Member
Our time has gotten stale
the tick tock of the clock is painful, all sane and logical.
I want to tear it off the wall.
Rendezvous I’m through with you?
the tick tock of the clock is painful, all sane and logical.
I want to tear it off the wall.
Rendezvous I’m through with you?
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and we're going to need a bigger boat with the rains showing up in N. AL/N.TN/N.GA/SWNC
rburrel2
Member
Love to see it. (Euro AI crush job).
Tsappfrog20
Member
Yea I think the 20-28 timeframe is looking really good for the SE!!
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CNCsnwfan1210
Member
I like where we’re headed toward the last week in February
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We're going to see a HECS before this season is out.
tennessee storm
Member
Yeah. Probably heading toward hell…
I like where we’re headed toward the last week in February
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That upper low finally swings through helping to beat down the SER and a ridge in the west tries to go up coupled with a super block...the last week of Feb will hopefully be a window. I don't know what it is but we seem to have a lot of events in Feb the last week of Feb.
Textbook SE snow pattern week 2
Textbook SE snow pattern week 2
Yep. The ceiling is higher than normal for a high-end east coast winter storm. The pattern is super active, and we'll be in the process of aligning several key background elements favorable for winter weather.
When all us said and done, it wouldn't surprise me for a lot of areas to end the winter with much above normal snowfall, outside of the deep south/Gulf coast.
Just shows how useless they are.
Ha, well I keep it simple.Just shows how useless they are.
If model is trending better = good
If model is trending worse = bad
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Let it cook
rburrel2
Member
Looks like we finally got some noise on the GEFS starting around hr 282.
rburrel2
Member
Ehh?
SnowmanVol99
Member
12z euro looks warm after late in February. Beginning to wonder if all this cold is nothing but a tease. And if it does come we will just be dry. Seems like the Tennessee way for sure.