Pattern Fail or Fab February 2023 Pattern Thread

[CNCsnwfan1210]

Rain to snow for NC, snow for folks in TN and VA

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[NCSNOW]

 

[CaryWx]

This looks frontal to me

 

[LukeBarrette]

This looks like a child threw up on to our screens

 

[BIG FROSTY]

GDPS is a no go also!

 

[NCSNOW]

Canadian op. All these are just different, moving around as expected. Such a fine line that want be determined for several days. High risk, reward setup.

 

[CaryWx]

These precip events are nearly 24hrs apart (or more) between Canadian and GFS.

 

[CaryWx]

GDPS is a no go also!

1026 HP (meso?) sitting over Norfolk????

 

[NCSNOW]

These precip events are nearly 24hrs apart (or more) between Canadian and GFS.

We got big picture reeled in. Its the pinpoint, finer details that will take a while.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

1026 HP (meso?) sitting over Norfolk????

Yep. Great look at this lead time. I think we are looking at an ice storm versus full on snow. Maybe snow to ice.

 

[NCSNOW]

 

[BIG FROSTY]

1026 HP (meso?) sitting over Norfolk????

We got big picture reeled in. Its the pinpoint, finer details that will take a while.

The cold just not penetrating far enough south, sliding out very quick. very progressive. IDK, Got many runs before possible game time!

 

[NCSNOW]

Canadian was about to fire another boomer off on day 10, Feb 6th

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Lol interesting that the 240 Canadian and GFS try to give something else a go after this storm. Weird pattern we’re running into. I don’t really hate where we are at right now. The possibility of winter precip is still showing up. While also not giving us explosive weenie runs is also good imo. Sensitive set ups can change in a dime

 

[LukeBarrette]

Canadian was about to fire another boomer off on day 10, Feb 6th

You were not kidding

 

[Downeastnc]

Lol interesting that the 240 Canadian and GFS try to give something else a go after this storm. Weird pattern we’re running into. I don’t really hate where we are at right now. The possibility of winter precip is still showing up. While also not giving us explosive weenie runs is also good imo. Sensitive set ups can change in a dime

Feb of 89 was as crazy a month of weather as I have ever seen, would love to see how it analogs....that Feb had 2 or 3 snow/ice events including the monster Feb 24/25 but it also had lots of big warmth with one day hitting 83 early in the month.....we also had a significant severe outbreak on the 21st....

That was a heck of a 7 day period, we had snow/ice on the 18th, this event below on the 21st with temps into the 70's, then the big dog snowstorm 2 days later on the 24/25th with legit blizzard type conditions.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

That’s a wicked airmass wound tight up in Canada. It really is a shame we can’t stretch it south. Rarified air even for those guys.

 

[BullCityWx]

GEPS has a bit better mean vs 12z

 

[Snowlove33]

So basically the storm we tracking is a North Carolina/Tennessee north storm right?

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

GEPS has a bit better mean vs 12z

Better snow/winter precip mean?

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