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Pattern Fabulous February

The MJO looks nice, but isn't there a typical 10-14 day lag between it entering the favorable phases and any impact on the North American pattern? If so, we're pushing any positive influence into the very last week of February, first week of March. Those two weeks can work for us, but it's mighty close.
 
The MJO looks nice, but isn't there a typical 10-14 day lag between it entering the favorable phases and any impact on the North American pattern? If so, we're pushing any positive influence into the very last week of February, first week of March. Those two weeks can work for us, but it's mighty close.

No, the stats/maps that show correlation of MJO to US wx are based on no lag. My Jan study was also based on no lag.
 
Some folks need to step back and realize that we live in the south and it’s never going to be wall to wall vodka cold. Just dwo like I do, when it’s nice weather get outside and enjoy it, when it’s cold and snowy, get outside and enjoy it.
Some folks need to step back and realize that we live in the south and it’s never going to be wall to wall vodka cold. Just do like I do, when it’s nice weather get outside and enjoy it, when it’s cold and snowy, get outside and enjoy it.
70 s winters featured some wall to wall cold winters in Tennessee... but things have changed
 
It's not just about temperature swings.
True... but 90% of the time with these temps, DPs, and strong fronts moving through in Feb and March... the upper air dynamic environment is there for severe, but for some reason it didn't develop this time.
 
The SE ridge on the 12Z EPS never goes away. I'm in awe of the power and persistence of the SER. What a force to reckon with! Did I ever mention my intense dislike for -PNAs? After 2/10, there are no days in the SE with colder than normal. Most days are warmer than normal but a few are near normal. Welcome bugs!
 
The SE ridge on the 12Z EPS never goes away. I'm in awe of the power and persistence of the SER. What a force to reckon with! Did I ever mention my intense dislike for -PNAs? After 2/10, there are no days in the SE with colder than normal. Most days are warmer than normal but a few are near normal. Welcome bugs!
We're starting to get close to @Rain Cold deadline..... seems the clock is ticking
 
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