Damn, who took away my 12” of sleet and ZR?? Dissapointment continues
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Pattern Fabulous February
- Thread starter PEA_RIDGE
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accu35
Member
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- Jan 5, 2017
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Thats it, I'm chasing LOL!!
Brent
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
It’s a -PNA coupled with model dispersion creating a weak negative NAO that probably won’t verify. Zzzz
More miller B action ! That high for the Sunday event, still looks very, very stout on 6z! Local temp forecasts already down to 43 here, was mid 50s yesterday!? Watching NW piedmont, it’s easy for them to score ice!
@ Brent can’t get snow, but severe storms right now, nice to wake up to! ?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Vast majority of the board is going to see record or near-record breaking high temperatures this afternoon.
Low-mid level westerly flow over central NC could provide a further assist in today's heat as air sinks and warms via adiabatic compression off the Appalachian mountains.
Low-mid level westerly flow over central NC could provide a further assist in today's heat as air sinks and warms via adiabatic compression off the Appalachian mountains.
Minneapolis getting the failboat today! They were forecast for Atleast 4-8” yesterday, for today, now looking like 1-2”, low went South, hope for the CAD this weekend!?
Wow! F3 just crumbled to dust !! We knew
packfan98
Moderator
The SOI might be starting to tank. It dropped 9 points today. Down to -7.59. If it can drop further and hold, we should see a more favorable pattern down the road. Too bad we are running out of road for the SE, especially the deep south. Maybe we get lucky?
Snowflowxxl
Member
FV3 has nothing for the southeast now. Hopefully by this and it’s verification scores people will realize how bad it is. The GFS does not need replaced until they can fix its obvious flaws.
snowlover91
Member
Yep the FV3 crumbled big time on this one, major fail for it! Props to the Euro and UK for picking up on it correctly.
NCSNOW
Member
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So far for FAB FEB, the month that's gonna rock this winter, the one we all bought into by listening to ourselves and everyone else to just wait for. Greensboro is running +10 AN and lord only knows what that # will be after today's mean temperature of +25 gets factored in.
I've seen bust before , especially with LR. But this one takes the cake. I'm as guilty as anyone from back in November. Had it not been for the stellar November and early December snow I'd be stir crazy. This winter was front loaded and then that was all she wrote. Polar opposite of the back loaded heavily weighed forecast.
We finally get to inhale some winter air into our lungs starting this weekend and lasting until next weekend which will put us at Feb15. After that all I see on the models (ens) is the SER being a beast, reasserting itself. Something else that is in the back of my mind is the ole rubber band theory. We've been wet so long (record year 2018). Have you noticed its starting to trend away from that now. Seeing the SER just own the street corner we all live on down here, I'm wondering if we aren't headed toward this becoming the overriding theme as we roll into spring and summer.
I've seen bust before , especially with LR. But this one takes the cake. I'm as guilty as anyone from back in November. Had it not been for the stellar November and early December snow I'd be stir crazy. This winter was front loaded and then that was all she wrote. Polar opposite of the back loaded heavily weighed forecast.
We finally get to inhale some winter air into our lungs starting this weekend and lasting until next weekend which will put us at Feb15. After that all I see on the models (ens) is the SER being a beast, reasserting itself. Something else that is in the back of my mind is the ole rubber band theory. We've been wet so long (record year 2018). Have you noticed its starting to trend away from that now. Seeing the SER just own the street corner we all live on down here, I'm wondering if we aren't headed toward this becoming the overriding theme as we roll into spring and summer.
cd2play
Member
If it is, heaven help where ever sits on the western/nw edge of it, where the front stalls for 6 months. It will be #floodmageddon
I am going to wait until Sunday at 12z. But if we don’t have a favorable pattern on the doorstep by then, I’m done.
It’s pretty astounding year after year how we can lock into unfavorable patterns but not ever into a favorable pattern.
It’s pretty astounding year after year how we can lock into unfavorable patterns but not ever into a favorable pattern.
whatalife
Moderator
The earth has changed. While I’m not a big fan of the whole idea of global warming...there is case a to be made about how it is affecting our weather.
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Record high to beat today in Charlotte is 74, NWS going with 79, I’d take the over and bet we end up in the lower 80s. We’re making a run at the warmest day ever so early in year
Southeast at it finest. It was 67 degrees here at 6 am. It actually did felt good. Going to be a shock to a lot of people system tomorrow.
6am tomorrow it’s going to be 32. A 35 degree difference. Amazing!!
Cloudcover will prevent any ridiculous numbers! I’m sure starting out at 66 will help, but already full cloud deck
64 here this morning and nothing about it felt good to me.... I hate hot muggy mornings in June, I absolutely despise them in Feb. Lol