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Pattern Fabulous February

Honestly if anything happens at all, the GFS and new FV3 are likely the most realistic depiction. Not some of the ridiculous runs we were seeing.

Northern NC and north icing, that's it.
 
Basically something in between the FV/gfs seems likely, they kinda both caved to each other lol, probably a ice event for the foothills, northern/northwestern piedmont seems likely at this point, maybe similar to that icing event a few weeks ago
 
Let’s see what Euro and UK show. If they make a shift towards an icy solution that would be very interesting. The details of how much are impossible to nail down this far out. The overall synoptic setup is what we need models to start agreeing on.
 
The sad thing about tonight’s runs is that the GFS has a beautiful wedge but it still had me in the mid 40’s here. It had upstate SC at 40 and Macon Georgia in the lower 70’s at 138. At least it will save me from another day of heat and humidity
 
Glad to see this block finally showing back up
 

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I see a whole lot of blocking here at hour 240 on the eps ... doesn’t look all that bad to me Hahahaha
 

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