• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern Fab-February 2020 The dark age

Euro trying to get on board.
prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_ma.png
 
1580840885909.png

Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
42°F
6°C
Humidity92%
Wind SpeedNW 18 G 24 mph
Barometer29.91 in (1012.7 mb)
Dewpoint40°F (4°C)
Visibility6.00 mi
Wind Chill34°F (1°C)
Last update4 Feb 11:53 am CST


This Afternoon
Mostly cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 44 by 5pm. North northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.


Curious if Brent may be a little excited that the cold is about 6 hours ahead of schedule for his area? The winds are quite a bit stronger than forecast. maybe the track will be a little south??
 
WEATHERBOYROY said:
View attachment 32999

Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
42°F
6°C
Humidity92%
Wind SpeedNW 18 G 24 mph
Barometer29.91 in (1012.7 mb)
Dewpoint40°F (4°C)
Visibility6.00 mi
Wind Chill34°F (1°C)
Last update4 Feb 11:53 am CST


This Afternoon
Mostly cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 44 by 5pm. North northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.


Curious if Brent may be a little excited that the cold is about 6 hours ahead of schedule for his area? The winds are quite a bit stronger than forecast. maybe the track will be a little south??
Click to expand...

He said earlier in the thread he's decided to go to Wichita Falls tonight and personally I don't blame him from the little I've seen.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
We’re going to have to quit lumping our winters into “El Niño” or “La Niña”. It’s obvious at this point that the waters in the east-central Equatorial Pacific aren’t the only thing determining what type of winter we will have. Just my two pennies
Click to expand...
Well said Jimmy..well said!
Maybe this friday /sat thing will over perform here again and I see some more fatties falling and get another trace. Pathetic I know but given our recent history that's epic nowadays!
 
Oconeexman said:
Well said Jimmy..well said!
Maybe this friday /sat thing will over perform here again and I see some more fatties falling and get another trace. Pathetic I know but given our recent history that's epic nowadays!
Click to expand...

If rates overcome I could see north of 85 picking up a inch.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
GaWx said:
Where is this info coming from? Yes, El Ninos absolutely can and have delivered frigid air many times into the SE. El Ninos can't deliver frigid air and there's cold rain only? This is so false. You need to prove your assertion with non-misleading facts as this is a science board.
Click to expand...
Agreed. Here’s January 2016 and February 2016 which I’m pretty sure was El Nino.
 

Attachments

  • 0C1EAB78-F1DE-4F61-A1E9-DC8A12E2FC8B.jpeg
    0C1EAB78-F1DE-4F61-A1E9-DC8A12E2FC8B.jpeg
    571.1 KB · Views: 30
  • 160AE1E7-48CF-4CC9-8851-3810A0FD057D.jpeg
    160AE1E7-48CF-4CC9-8851-3810A0FD057D.jpeg
    703.5 KB · Views: 30
No wonder -NPOs are favorable for NINO growth, not only do the low-level trades weaken but there's usually a huge upper level outflow jet into the "Kona Low" (trough near Hawaii) which substantially increases upper level divergence over the West-Central Pacific, encouraging ascent & deep convection, favoring phase 6-7-8 MJO.

1580849947132.png


1580849982309.png
 
olhausen said:
Agreed. Here’s January 2016 and February 2016 which I’m pretty sure was El Nino.
Click to expand...

And how about the very cold and snowy 2009-10, the coldest since 1977-8. And by the way, 1977-8 was also El Nino and was the 2nd coldest on record to THE coldest, 1976-7, still another El Nino!

In addition at ATL, 2004-5 had a major ZR. Also, 1991-2, 1986-7, and 1982-3 had major snows. 1987-8 had a major sleet. 1979-80 had the early March snow with very cold temps. I could go on and on in response to the comment that El Ninos can't deliver "frigid cold" and "so we have cold rain only." And this leads to another question: since when do you need "frigid cold" to get wintry precip?
That comment is so obviously false that I wonder if that was merely trolling out of frustration or boredom.
Edit: I almost forgot 1972-3: severe ZR ATL and historic snow further south!! The second heaviest snow for middle Ga was during the El Nino of 1913-4.

Edit: More El Nino winters that produced major winter storms: 1957-8, 1951-2, 1941-2, 1939-40 (2), 1923-4, 1911-2, 1905-6, 1904-5 (2 major ZRs!), 1896-7, 1888-9, 1884-5 (2), 1880-1, 1876-7
 
Last edited:
Generally, I want no part of a La Nina but west based (Nino3.4) El Nino's give us the chance for more snow due to the jet undercutting highs across the North and bring enough cold air (depending on high placement and low track) to produce for the majority of our region. These type El Nino's tend to be back loaded but not every time.
 
BufordWX said:
The rain train is going to be unrelenting this month.View attachment 32981
Click to expand...
t
GaWx said:
And how about the very cold and snowy 2009-10, the coldest since 1977-8. And by the way, 1977-8 was also El Nino and was the 2nd coldest on record to THE coldest, 1976-7, still another El Nino!

In addition at ATL, 2004-5 had a major ZR. Also, 1991-2, 1986-7, and 1982-3 had major snows. 1987-8 had a major sleet. 1979-80 had the early March snow with very cold temps. I could go on and on in response to the comment that El Ninos can't deliver "frigid cold" and "so we have cold rain only." And this leads to another question: since when do you need "frigid cold" to get wintry precip?
That comment is so obviously false that I wonder if that was merely trolling out of frustration or boredom.
Edit: I almost forgot 1972-3: severe ZR ATL and historic snow further south!! The second heaviest snow for middle Ga was during the El Nino of 1913-4.

Edit: More El Nino winters that produced major winter storms: 1957-8, 1951-2, 1941-2, 1939-40 (2), 1923-4, 1911-2, 1905-6, 1904-5 (2 major ZRs!), 1896-7, 1888-9, 1884-5 (2), 1880-1, 1876-7
Click to expand...
give me La Niña every year
 
tennessee storm said:
t

give me La Niña every year
Click to expand...

Actually, you being in W TN means you don't see as much of the winter advantages of El Nino over La Nina as folks east of you. For your area, La Nina and El Nino are closer as regards cold and wintry precip vs. say, ATL and RDU.

I realize you may not be a lover of cold and wintry precip. and may prefer thunderstorms.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top