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Pattern Fab Feb

Edward Nygma said:
Yes sir. Trough axis is backing up and more energy is digging into it.
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Yeah that's a better look at what's happening. And its the same trend we had with this current storm. The wave progression slows with the downstream blocking and you will encourage a more amped system to develop. Didn't help us on this one to stay all snow here. Here, with the baroclinic zone further south, an overrunning event would be at best along the Gulf coast (like last year). Need the amp this time.
 
wow said:
Need the southern low to hold its own. The classic models have been losing it for the last day or so. AIFS and Google are still holding enough of it for a phase. Would still like that to trend some more to really pull this in. Still got time.
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Agree that would be best, as timing up a phase is such a pain and rarely works out. This time with super blocking and -nao maybe that changes. Worked for this week too to have a little interaction.

Funny how GEFS was all for it the last 2 days and it switches. Anybody see the GEFS hybrid? That seemed to be on it as well.
 
SnowNiner said:
Agree that would be best, as timing up a phase is such a pain and rarely works out. This time with super blocking and -nao maybe that changes. Worked for this week too to have a little interaction.

Funny how GEFS was all for it the last 2 days and it switches. Anybody see the GEFS hybrid? That seemed to be on it as well.
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12z not out yet, but it has been ticking a bit more suppressed / more late bloomer

Jan 25 Hybrid Snow.gif
 
Parker said:
That model had a 1-2 inch mean across a lot of Alabama. It was posted earlier this morning.
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Really I'm just being a negative Nancy and my post belongs in banter.
I don't plan to believe any solution shown by modeling unless it's nearly unanimous and inside of 48-72 hours. I get that the Weather next model is scoring impressively lately but I won't buy it's solutions by themselves.
 
The zr is two miles ne of me, and the squall line is here. That's how close the cads play is. Edit: Now three incursions closer to me..out it front of the main force. It's a curiosity. I'm thinking that rain will errode the zr, but strange things happen with this storm.
 
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dsaur said:
The zr is two miles ne of me, and the squall line is here. That's how close the cads play is. Edit: Now three incursions closer to me..out it front of the main force. It's a curiosity. I'm thinking that rain will errode the zr, but strange things happen with this storm.
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Nope, the zr is advancing filling in all along the line of the rain. Strong, stubborn cad. I just love cad, it makes winter a blast, or can.
 
dsaur said:
The zr is two miles ne of me, and the squall line is here. That's how close the cads play is. Edit: Now three incursions closer to me..out it front of the main force. It's a curiosity. I'm thinking that rain will errode the zr, but strange things happen with this storm.
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Well, cads battle was lost a mile from my yard. The last band of rain is thru me. It was amazing to watch, considering I fed my winter weather obsession via early morning weather reports to pilots out at the airport. That's the best I had. Pilots reporting snow at 1000 feet. Get me all excited, lol. Now I can watch it unfolding right in front of me, and verify by looking out side. The weather artist in me thinks that last heavy rain wanted to bounce, was in communication with that freezing line, urging it on. It was so close to bouncing and I'm pulling for them to meet. What? A lot more than just a few of you think you sway the out come of games by yelling, lol.
 
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