Very close to something bigger.
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Pattern Fab Feb
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Very close to something bigger.
RecklessApple
Member
If you are able to check, what did the Hybrid GEFS look like a week out for this current storm?
Storm5
Member
I'll take it at this lead and ill believe the press won't be as strong as advertised
lexxnchloe
Member
Insane high there on the Icon (1054mb). Northern stream / TPV is just super suppressive, bullying the pattern
Furthest I could go back was from a run on Tuesday. It was better than the regular GEFS, but not as good as the WeatherNext
BKWRN29
Member
Am I the only one concerned that it’s so suppressed at this point? I was feeling kinda confident yesterday this may be the one but idk
accu35
Member
Gfs little more north so far
accu35
Member
She’s trying
Haha you might actually be the only one.
wow
Member
GFS is gonna crush it with the baroclinic zone so far south. That needs to lift north.
accu35
Member
wow
Member
That's what I'm used to seeing.
BKWRN29
Member
lol so at what point do we being to be concerned with the suppression?
accu35
Member
lol, CMC suppressed city with a 1052 in OK. I bet we start seeing a north trend next day or two
Bigedd09
Member
After the storm this week, I’m totally cool with it being suppressed right now
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whatalife
Moderator
GEM says if you want to see snow you’d better buy a boat or book a cruise. 
What a pic 
accu35
Member
UK suppress or sheared
looks like the UK went for a clipper
accu35
Member
But that’s what we want in a great pattern
Absolutely. We just cant seem to find that winning connection no matter what the indices are
wow
Member
AI GFS still going for a bombing low off the SE coast.
jamesmbryanjr1
Member
Storm5
Member
Nice look a week out. We all know the final result won't look like what's being shown . So we sit back and see if the heights in the east can star relaxing some over the coming days
Too close for comfort if you ask me, need it near Bermuda for right now. 
1040 high over Arkansas next Sat.. if the goofus is to be believed
The original threat is pretty much on life support. The AIGFS storm just lets the NS trough seen on the other models, dig and Amp.
accu35
Member
I’m not worried at the moment. Those 1040s and 1050s close by will start to modify as we get closer to the event, to allow more of a north trend.
BKWRN29
Member
By now we should all know it really only matters what the euro is showing lol
0Z GEFS mean: look at all of that snow along Gulf coast and in N FL/S GA. More than likely not going to happen as there are still 6-8 days to go for NW trending, but you never know and there’s yet to be any sustained NW trend:
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Bigedd09
Member
I really like where we’re at
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BKWRN29
Member
If this trends nw, will more moisture fill in across ms, al, ga?I really like where we’re at
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Bigedd09
Member
3+ inch max in havelock 7 days out is a great signal
00z runs were looking like a bit of a downgrade............except, the Euro and EPS improved, the AI GFS was interesting...
And.....the WeatherNext Ensemble had its best run yet!
I don't have 500mb, but at the start of the loop, our storm wave of interest is hitting the west coast, and you can follow it along with the curvature in the dashed thickness lines as it dives SE into TX. That's how a healthy wave in split flow with an extending Pac Jet should behave. Also, the northern stream / TPV (purple and blue) elongates across the Great Lakes and dives down right behind our storm wave. All of this looks really good actually.
Here is WeatherNext with snowfall increasing next weekend
Then on the Euro, I like how the TPV over the Great Lakes continues to trend toward spreading out west to east / elongating here, instead of the deep, suppressing plunge to the SE
And.....the WeatherNext Ensemble had its best run yet!
I don't have 500mb, but at the start of the loop, our storm wave of interest is hitting the west coast, and you can follow it along with the curvature in the dashed thickness lines as it dives SE into TX. That's how a healthy wave in split flow with an extending Pac Jet should behave. Also, the northern stream / TPV (purple and blue) elongates across the Great Lakes and dives down right behind our storm wave. All of this looks really good actually.
Here is WeatherNext with snowfall increasing next weekend
Then on the Euro, I like how the TPV over the Great Lakes continues to trend toward spreading out west to east / elongating here, instead of the deep, suppressing plunge to the SE
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