Pattern Fab Feb

[TheBatman]

Very close to something bigger.

 

[RecklessApple]

Here is the Hybrid GEFS

View attachment 188765


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If you are able to check, what did the Hybrid GEFS look like a week out for this current storm?

 

[Storm5]

View attachment 188775


Very close to something bigger.

I'll take it at this lead and ill believe the press won't be as strong as advertised

 

[lexxnchloe]

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Very close to something bigger.

Much improved from 12Z

 

[griteater]

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Very close to something bigger.

Insane high there on the Icon (1054mb). Northern stream / TPV is just super suppressive, bullying the pattern

 

[griteater]

If you are able to check, what did the Hybrid GEFS look like a week out for this current storm?

Furthest I could go back was from a run on Tuesday. It was better than the regular GEFS, but not as good as the WeatherNext

 

[BKWRN29]

Am I the only one concerned that it’s so suppressed at this point? I was feeling kinda confident yesterday this may be the one but idk

 

[accu35]

Gfs little more north so far

 

[accu35]

She’s trying

 

[Rain Cold]

Am I the only one concerned that it’s so suppressed at this point? I was feeling kinda confident yesterday this may be the one but idk

Haha you might actually be the only one.

 

[LisaDuck]

Am I the only one concerned that it’s so suppressed at this point? I was feeling kinda confident yesterday this may be the one but idk

 

[wow]

GFS is gonna crush it with the baroclinic zone so far south. That needs to lift north.

 

[accu35]

GFS is gonna crush it with the baroclinic zone so far south. That needs to lift north.

Seems like the gfs is the furthest south from the other models

 

[wow]

Seems like the gfs is the furthest south from the other models

That's what I'm used to seeing.

 

[BKWRN29]

Haha you might actually be the only one.

lol so at what point do we being to be concerned with the suppression?

 

[accu35]

lol, CMC suppressed city with a 1052 in OK. I bet we start seeing a north trend next day or two

 

[Bigedd09]

Am I the only one concerned that it’s so suppressed at this point? I was feeling kinda confident yesterday this may be the one but idk

After the storm this week, I’m totally cool with it being suppressed right now


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[whatalife]

GEM says if you want to see snow you’d better buy a boat or book a cruise.

 

[Parker]

What a pic

 

[accu35]

UK suppress or sheared

 

[Disco_Lemonade]

looks like the UK went for a clipper

 

[Ksnow33]

Great patterns dont have to produce a great snowstorm

 

[accu35]

Great patterns dont have to produce a great snowstorm

But that’s what we want in a great pattern

 

[Ksnow33]

But that’s what we want in a great pattern

Absolutely. We just cant seem to find that winning connection no matter what the indices are

 

[wow]

AI GFS still going for a bombing low off the SE coast.

 

[jamesmbryanjr1]

Great patterns dont have to produce a great snowstorm

Really?!?!?


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[Storm5]

Nice look a week out. We all know the final result won't look like what's being shown . So we sit back and see if the heights in the east can star relaxing some over the coming days

 

[Bready86]

Too close for comfort if you ask me, need it near Bermuda for right now.

 

[tractor girl]

1040 high over Arkansas next Sat.. if the goofus is to be believed

 

[Arcc]

The original threat is pretty much on life support. The AIGFS storm just lets the NS trough seen on the other models, dig and Amp.

 

[GaWx]

0Z Icon and CMC both have very light snow in NE FL next Saturday.

 

[accu35]

The original threat is pretty much on life support. The AIGFS storm just lets the NS trough seen on the other models, dig and Amp.


View attachment 188823

I’m not worried at the moment. Those 1040s and 1050s close by will start to modify as we get closer to the event, to allow more of a north trend.

 

[BKWRN29]

By now we should all know it really only matters what the euro is showing lol

 

[GaWx]

0Z GEFS mean: look at all of that snow along Gulf coast and in N FL/S GA. More than likely not going to happen as there are still 6-8 days to go for NW trending, but you never know and there’s yet to be any sustained NW trend:

 

[Bigedd09]

I really like where we’re at

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[BKWRN29]

I really like where we’re at

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If this trends nw, will more moisture fill in across ms, al, ga?

 

[Bigedd09]

If this trends nw, will more moisture fill in across ms, al, ga?

Yes I think so


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[Mitch West]

 

[Ross]

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3+ inch max in havelock 7 days out is a great signal

 

[griteater]

00z runs were looking like a bit of a downgrade............except, the Euro and EPS improved, the AI GFS was interesting...

And.....the WeatherNext Ensemble had its best run yet!

I don't have 500mb, but at the start of the loop, our storm wave of interest is hitting the west coast, and you can follow it along with the curvature in the dashed thickness lines as it dives SE into TX. That's how a healthy wave in split flow with an extending Pac Jet should behave. Also, the northern stream / TPV (purple and blue) elongates across the Great Lakes and dives down right behind our storm wave. All of this looks really good actually.








Here is WeatherNext with snowfall increasing next weekend





Then on the Euro, I like how the TPV over the Great Lakes continue to trend toward spreading out west to east / elongating here, instead of the deep, suppressing plunge to the SE