Confirmed that 11-15 EPS along with GEFS and GEPS are significantly colder to our NW vs 0Z runs indicative of trying to breakout of the zonal flow and tap sone of the W Canadian cold:
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Pattern December to Remember
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Confirmed that 11-15 EPS along with GEFS and GEPS are significantly colder to our NW vs 0Z runs indicative of trying to breakout of the zonal flow and tap sone of the W Canadian cold:
I believe that system brought snow to New Orleans while most of the Carolinas were well up into the 70s
I think your top 3 warmest dec is fading fast
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
I really wish you didn’t remember that haha
It’s why i can't stand any modeling over 7 days. Worthless.
Eps snow totals through D8
Dewpoint Dan
Member
You can have that crap. I just want it cold enough to snow ?
-EPOs are high reward but high risk, we’re gonna need NA blocking to come in clutch, -EPOs are prone to the SER 
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
We’re gonna pop a big -NAO!
Cary_Snow95
Member
I agree I think we will but not before we get a big western dump and ser dominated pattern thru the end of the month imo
It’ll be interesting to see what happens sometimes -EPOs can be destructive to -NAOs and vice versa, but when they both happen at the same time great things happen
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah, just about everything I see points to a potentially strong -NAO developing after Christmas and the possibility of it being coupled to a -EPO
This pattern right here is just a classic precursor to a big time -NAO in the week or two to follow.
Ward Cleaver
Member
I won’t get 10% of that.
Parker
Member
This sure makes a drive up to gatlinburg very tempting
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah, just about everything I see points to a potentially strong -NAO developing after Christmas and the possibility of it being coupled to a -EPO
This pattern right here is just a classic precursor to a big time -NAO in the week or two to follow.
Here we go
StormWatch
Member
That's not too bad - some of them are indicating the ULL, while some are indicating a line of snow along the boundary. This tells that the models aren't quite there yet with the best likelihood of the outcome. Right now, the question that stands out the most is whether or not the system would become cutoff or remain a frontal system? If it becomes cutoff, it's likely to become cutoff on the tail end of the Southern Appalachian Mountains as the mountains would cause a disturbance in the flow (orographic lift) - creating upward vorticites of air forcing counterclockwise winds. It would of course also depend what takes places with the ridges at 500mb.
SnowNiner
Member
Yeah, just about everything I see points to a potentially strong -NAO developing after Christmas and the possibility of it being coupled to a -EPO
This pattern right here is just a classic precursor to a big time -NAO in the week or two to follow.
Ok, I think we'll all agree to give you the cold and snow the last 10 days of December, as long as you promise that it moves east to us the first 10 days of January. And not just with the moderating -NAO, we have to have that pacific ridge shift east with it for a +PNA. Deal? ?