Pattern December to Remember

[FallsLake]

I really don’t see the hate on this look that’s a crap ton of confluence all you need is a transfer of energy from the western trough that’s early enough to feel the confluence, this verbatim is slightly to late and would probably be a cold rain but it’s not a terrible pattern for the Carolinas View attachment 98189

Verbatim it would be ice from the NC boarder northwards the day after Christmas. I doubt anything comes from this but it's not far off.

 

[FallsLake]

But the important thing is the 18z GFS is still showing a cold Christmas (late afternoon on the 25th):

 

[SD]

Gfs really pumping the nao and amping waves off the the NE coast sets up one heck of a gradient across the region

 

[BIG FROSTY]

Weeks 3 and 4 on Today's JMA

C
Would you go for a January like say 1982?

 

[Tarheel1]

I’m down with the 18z GFS

 

[Myfrotho704_]

GEFS about to bomb de fook out that 50/50

 

[Tarheel1]

Roxboro, I see you! ?

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Gfs really pumping the nao and amping waves off the the NE coast sets up one heck of a gradient across the regionView attachment 98192

Seen this a few times. Wouldn’t surprise me to see the warmer air push up near the Sandhills while wake is in the 40s

 

[Cad Wedge NC]

I’m down with the 18z GFSView attachment 98193View attachment 98194View attachment 98195

This is not a bad look. It would only take a little work to get a winter storm here.

 

[LickWx]

I really don’t see the hate on this look that’s a crap ton of confluence all you need is a transfer of energy from the western trough that’s early enough to feel the confluence, this verbatim is slightly to late and would probably be a cold rain but it’s not a terrible pattern for the Carolinas View attachment 98189

Correction eastern North Carolina . That’s not a bad pattern for eastern North Carolina . That’s a Charlotte warm month Raleigh cold month pattern. Gosh darned I’d love to see that over Alabama for once and not us !

 

[SD]

Correction eastern North Carolina . That’s not a bad pattern for eastern North Carolina . That’s a Charlotte warm month Raleigh cold month pattern. Gosh darned I’d love to see that over Alabama for once and not us !

It's going to be over us tomorrow. Cope

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Correction eastern North Carolina . That’s not a bad pattern for eastern North Carolina . That’s a Charlotte warm month Raleigh cold month pattern. Gosh darned I’d love to see that over Alabama for once and not us !

That pattern is favorable for Miller B transfers, which is often better for the areas you just said, not ENC, while +PNA/-NAO Miller A setups favor ENC. all really just depends on a actual wave of energy and the strength of the confluence
Now metwannabe will find a way to 19 degrees that look tho

 

[SD]

Seen this a few times. Wouldn’t surprise me to see the warmer air push up near the Sandhills while wake is in the 40s

Yeah that pattern on the gfs would certainly lead to some big day to day gradients even across our area

 

[LickWx]

It's going to be over us tomorrow. Cope

We keep getting it , all of 2018 , 2017, and 2015.

 

[LickWx]

Yeah that pattern on the gfs would certainly lead to some big day to day gradients even across our area

My least favorite kind of day because it’s the difference between a good day and a cold one. I’m ok if everyone’s cold but I’m not ok if I freeze and everyone else is warm.

 

[SD]

My least favorite kind of day because it’s the difference between a good day and a cold one. I’m ok if everyone’s cold but I’m not ok if I freeze and everyone else is warm.

It's my favorite from June until Feb. Don't give me that in spring

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Eh gefs moves it out quicker, at least I can use the @GaWx card and toss the 18z

 

[LickWx]

Monthly average low so far isn’t too far from average . High is though.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Might torch might be cold

 

[Cary_Snow95]

GFS and EURO are so different with the 50-50 lmao