Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again

[GeorgiaGirl]

PHIL!!! I found your snow in FL!

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All in baby! Road trip! (sarcasm)

 

[pcbjr]

Gfs is so cold and active, but suppressed, so active at 324 if it wasn’t suppressed would’ve been a Fantasy storm (it actually shows a blob of snow in NFla at 324

Please note that that is not something I posted!

 

[Brent]

Mmmm

 

[SD]

The first thing to really watch is that system that may get stuck in the SW before ejecting. Chances are it kicks when the pattern is too warm or too suppressed but there is a window there around day 11 or 12.

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[GaWx]

Consistent with the 18Z GFS, the 18Z GEFS is just about the coldest run overall yet for the SE US and is the coldest yet through day 13.

 

[Webberweather53]

If you aren't ok with this look at day 15 on the eps then you will never be satisfied. I like the fact the eps starts to retrograde the pattern a bit by d15 across the us which would give us a better shot at a SW flow aloft and some wintry weather.

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Classic overall planetary setup for a nice overrunning/Miller B event

 

[SD]

Classic overall planetary setup for a nice overrunning/Miller B event

Not that far away from a late bloming eastern NC special

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[accu35]

Mmmm

Lol, must be from a quick onset. This would be interesting

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Mmmm

Looks like another one to save for you haha.

 

[accu35]

If one woud look at this, cold air isnt that far north from this. If this system hung around SW awhile long, allowing the cold air rushing in, then things would get little dicey in some spots.

 

[Webberweather53]

Not that far away from a late bloming eastern NC special

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The parade of suppressed storms off the SE US coast on the 18z GFS certainly satisfied my inner weather weenie.

 

[Cad Wedge NC]

Classic overall planetary setup for a nice overrunning/Miller B event

Yes, this set-up would give us a cold source region for a nice cad event and the blocking would prevent the high from being transient. Now, if we can get a good deep snowpack to our northeast, it would really improve the confluence.

 

[Tarheel1]

Supressed is right where we want it now!

 

[Tarheel1]

Yes, this set-up would give us a cold source region for a nice cad event and the blocking would prevent the high from being transient. Now, if we can get a good deep snowpack to our northeast, it would really improve the confluence.

Lol! You obviously missed a few pages today!!

 

[Webberweather53]

PHIL!!! I found your snow in FL!

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If Phil gets snow in northern FL before I do in NC, I'm cliff jumping

 

[pcbjr]

If Phil gets snow in northern FL before I do in NC, I'm cliff jumping

You've got a partner!

 

[whatalife]

If Phil gets snow in northern FL before I do in NC, I'm cliff jumping

That makes two of us...LOL!


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[BHS1975]

If Phil gets snow in northern FL before I do in NC, I'm cliff jumping

Even a blind squirrel gets a nut every now and then.


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[Webberweather53]

Euro control also on board w/ the idea of a classic blue norther in west Texas and New Mexico.

 

[SD]

The parade of suppressed storms off the SE US coast on the 18z GFS certainly satisfied my inner weather weenie.

Same here if only those were days 5-10

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