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Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again

whatalife said:
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NorthGaWinter4 said:
So much potential. Pretty much every models is signaling a potential in the 10’day range
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Wouldnt be shocked if it somehow trended away from us (NW) and to the mid Atlantic but it's really too early to speculate in any case... Even after my analysis of 700+ winter storms (thus far) for NC since 1895, I personally don't trust RDU
 
I am starting to get excited for this pattern. Looks like there are many options on the table. I have not had my yard covered in a blanket of snow since the Jan 2014 snow jam here in Birmingham. I just want to see a nice 1-2 inch snowfall again, and it would be awesome to have it happen around Christmas time with all the decorations up and everything. This is my wife and I's first Christmas together, so I am all for getting in on some snowfall action again. I really enjoy everyones posts, maybe we will reel one in this winter!
 
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Webberweather53 said:
Wouldnt be shocked if it somehow trended away from us (NW) and to the mid Atlantic but it's really too early to speculate in any case... Even after my analysis of 700+ winter storms (thus far) for NC since 1895, I personally don't trust RDU
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It did seem after I moved from Raleigh to the Triad that RDU got the shaft a lot with snow.
 
SD said:
I'm in a meeting just said omg out loud

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Too funny! And this probably belongs in the fantasy thread but what the heck...
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SD said:
Holy ----

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Never seen somebody get so excited about rain! I mean I know we need it desperately, but not worth ruining a perfectly good pair of pants! :(
 
SD said:
That'll be a nice event for Cleveland by verification

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Yeah the excitement over a day ten Euro storm isn't the same anymore. The Euro seems extremely volatile these days post day 7. The 00z run tonight will look nothing like what we just saw.

The big take away is the western ridge and the Pacific pattern . We haven't had this good a look out that way in a long long time
 
Storm5 said:
Yeah the excitement over a day ten Euro storm isn't the same anymore. The Euro seems extremely volatile these days post day 7. The 00z run tonight will look nothing like what we just saw.

The big take away is the western ridge and the Pacific pattern . We haven't had this good a look out that way in a long long time
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Ain’t that the truth.


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Storm5 said:
Yeah the excitement over a day ten Euro storm isn't the same anymore. The Euro seems extremely volatile these days post day 7. The 00z run tonight will look nothing like what we just saw.

The big take away is the western ridge and the Pacific pattern . We haven't had this good a look out that way in a long long time
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Hey ... only posted it and with just one comment ... "OK" ... that was not supposed to suggest anything positive or negative; just interesting on the ridging and troughing and if other models are showing similar, there may be some trending worth being aware of ...
Back to the salt mine ...
 
tractor girl said:
Seeing a big fat nothingburger for ATL and south of us. As expected.
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Don't worry it's a D10 OP run that more than likely won't verify as what was just shown...however, with this upcoming pattern OP/Ens models have been spitting out, we have a better chance to track a wintry system, possible by mid December, earlier than previous years.
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metwannabe said:
Yeah but oh the joy if we could score before them just once

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Look if we get a ridge out west like the eps shows and get a true cross polar flow we can easily score without the snowpack to the north. The snowpack debate is a good one if your already dealing with borderline temps . But if you get true arctic air from a cross polar flow that debate goes out the window . Plus we are long overdue for a big ice storm .
 
metwannabe said:
Yeah but oh the joy if we could score before them just once

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Well, they're at least half a month late to get much of anything versus the normal. I definitely can see a nice little cyclone getting going right off the NE coast and getting the area good with this pattern change.
 
Not much wintry support on the 12z eps for the day 10 system . I wouldn't expect the first real chance till around mid Decmeber and on. I'm just excited about the damn ridge out west that is sustained through the end of the run on the 12z eps
 
Storm5 said:
Look of we get a ridge out west like the eps shows and get a true cross polar flow we can easily score without the snowpack to the north. The snowpack debate is a good one if your already dealing with borderline temps . But if you get true arctic air from a cross polar flow that debate goes out the window . Plus we are long overdue for a big ice storm .
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But we want our coastal and deep South friends like Larry, Chris & Tony to score too. Snowpack to the North never hurt anyone. ;) Phil's location might be pushing it, lol.
 
Yeah, that storm showing up on the Euro was a bonus. The main thing is the stage is being set for some possible fun in December and things still look good.
 
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