oh 
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Pattern December Dud đź‘€
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Here we are in mid-December and Hudson Bay is still mostly ice-free.
The 20th - 24th threat definitely has some legs. Again the biggest problem is things moving too fast as I said before. But given we’re 180 or so hours out .. we’re only a few changes away for something bigger for the SC, NC mid Atlantic folks..
It’s all about timing with this one. It be a great time to have a giant -NAO block right about now lol
It’s all about timing with this one. It be a great time to have a giant -NAO block right about now lol
The CMC has cooked up an interesting look at the end of its run. A building CAD with light overrunning precip.
A bit more entertaining than usual given that's Christmas Eve.
A bit more entertaining than usual given that's Christmas Eve.
1050 HP in a perfect location lol Canadian lol. I wish that was like 2 days out. It's pretty.
NCSNOW
Member
As of Dec 14th. GSO is - 4.4 BN.
Alright, let’s cook.
I tried to look for something to hate about what the Canadian is selling here at the end of its run but I couldn’t. Shucks. Legit cold air modeled into SE Canada.
That 1050 high will be replaced by a 1079 low cutting across Lake Erie in about 11 hours
griteater
Member
The Pacific onslaught on this GFS run is just insane. The MJO alone isn’t going to fix that problem. The MJO moving out of the Maritime Continent and across the Pacific (6-7-8) is a process that adds momentum into the Pacific Jet. Having the jet already energized isn’t a good starting point. So, we need to take a step back there before we can move forward. Something has the jet really energized so far here in early winter. You can see here on the 2nd image where the subtropical jet along 30N was weaker than normal from late Oct to early Nov, but has been stronger than normal since late Nov. The MJO has been in 5-6 during that time, not where you would expect to see an extended Pac Jet. Also, there hasn't been strong + East Asian Mtn Torque either. * Throws hands up *
Model could just be wrong. I haven't looked at what the other models are showing, though.The Pacific onslaught on this GFS run is just insane. The MJO alone isn’t going to fix that problem. The MJO moving out of the Maritime Continent and across the Pacific (6-7-8) is a process that adds momentum into the Pacific Jet. Having the jet already energized isn’t a good starting point. So, we need to take a step back there before we can move forward. Something has the jet really energized so far here in early winter. You can see here on the 2nd image where the subtropical jet along 30N was weaker than normal from late Oct to early Nov, but has been stronger than normal since late Nov. The MJO has been in 5-6 during that time, not where you would expect to see an extended Pac Jet. Also, there hasn't been strong + East Asian Mtn Torque either. * Throws hands up *
Euro looks more like my thinking. Energy moving at break neck speed! No way to slow down and build up a good storm for us..
Think the GFS is out to lunch.
Think the GFS is out to lunch.
GolfishardIknowit70
Member
Looking like we got a ways to go still
Winter getting into "February" mode quickly...at least it's cold in Florida #sarcasm...
Nice. Looks chilly down in Playa Del Carmen. We might have to take a trip back down there to escape this heat
There, found it for you lol. I am so sick of 240 hour maps. I still sincerely wonder what type of error keeps occurring in all NWP that always results in these wildly wintery looks for the east and southeastern US that never come to fruition once model error decreases (i.e. shorter lead times).
carolinachaos
Member
Let’s cook like SC did against Clemson! Let’s go!
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
tazaroo
Member
I honestly think the GFS is out to lunch here. This has been the theme so far to try to bring the warm hounds in the extended only to reverse as we get closer in time. Let's see how this goes the next few days before we worry about can kicking.
Wudge tomorrow
