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Pattern December Dud 👀

Myfrotho704_ said:
If there’s a time period I’m starting to focus on within this pattern for us to score, it’s here. That southern stream wave around Baja cali and TPV in The NE US. certainly can trend the right way real quick. Need that TPV to slide NE cleanly and something to kick that Baja wave or at least get some energy that sheds off of it, perhaps for some overrunning, and in the same process keep the area around the lakes clean for some trailing high pressure. This look imo starting to get my attention for scoring prospects View attachment 154607View attachment 154608
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Do you have the 18z gefs temp anomalies map for day 6-10?
 
Webberweather53 said:
I would like to see one of those get stuck over me this winter. I'm greedy
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Let’s compromise. We’ll let it stall for 24 hours over you and then start moving eastward just as a northern PVA streamer intercepts it right over the Mississippi River.
 
BHS1975 said:
We've had a lot of trouble getting those Baja waves to kick out and they just get stuck or shoved to the southwest.
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No joke. It’s been a while. Last one was dec 2018. Wonder what gave it the kick in that setup. Does somebody have a 500mb chart of that winter storm, maybe @Ollie Williams ? Wonder what gave it the kick
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
No joke. It’s been a while. Last one was dec 2018. Wonder what gave it the kick in that setup. Does somebody have a 500mb chart of that winter storm, maybe @Ollie Williams ? Wonder what gave it the kick
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Here is a play-by-play of that storm from the 2nd to the 11th. The ridge over the Pacific that migrated to Northwest Canada was particularly helpful. The wave was allowed to slide underneath and phase with the 50/50 low. However, the Baja wave would have gotten stuck if the ridge had been further south.

output_NZDQVS.gif
 
Ollie Williams said:
Here is a play-by-play of that storm from the 2nd to the 11th. The ridge over the Pacific that migrated to Northwest Canada was particularly helpful. The wave was allowed to slide underneath and phase with the 50/50 low. However, the Baja wave would have gotten stuck if the ridge had been further south.

View attachment 154616
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Where's your no talking thread? That should be starting up pretty soon I would think? 😄
 
Ollie Williams said:
Here is a play-by-play of that storm from the 2nd to the 11th. The ridge over the Pacific that migrated to Northwest Canada was particularly helpful. The wave was allowed to slide underneath and phase with the 50/50 low. However, the Baja wave would have gotten stuck if the ridge had been further south.

View attachment 154616
Click to expand...

Ah. This time it’ll likely be harder to boot given the tall ridge in the pacific will stick around and more then likely have it trapped, Vs that progression where that pattern was falling apart and the pacific was speeding up due to a over extension of the pacific jet
 
Webberweather53 said:
I would like to see one of those get stuck over me this winter. I'm greedy
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Myfrotho704_ said:
Ah. This time it’ll likely be harder to boot given the tall ridge in the pacific will stick around and more then likely have it trapped, Vs that progression where that pattern was falling apart and the pacific was speeding up due to a over extension of the pacific jet
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If that does happen, we probably need to focus on later in December imo
 
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