I'd take my chances with a December 89 redux in a heartbeat regardless of what that may mean for January.
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Pattern December Dud 👀
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Got a few ice storms/CAD events that month before the big dog showed up near Christmas. Would be nice to see a storm like that but shifted NWward
Being on the northwest fringe of the big dog (I was 3), I can vaguely remember my dad making a snowman on Christmas morning. I am so winter-starved at this point, this would seem like manna from Heaven if we had multiple frozen precipitation events and a big dog in eastern NC in December. Need snow, willing to travelGot a few ice storms/CAD events that month before the big dog showed up near Christmas. Would be nice to see a storm like that but shifted NWward
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.tennessee storm
Member
January and February pretty much sucked for big part . After that big cold blast mid December 89
griteater
Member
That’s a crazy west based -NAO look on the GFS run
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
I guess that means it will snow in Florida ? I’m pretty sure Florida got snow in December 89.
I'm impressed with how the cold gets reloaded on the models and it's not a 1-2 day big cold snap followed by renewed SER where we have to hope to hit a snow event on a 24-36 hour window as the cold retreats
Behold the beauty of the -NAO (I know you know this). That's the main advantage of having one though is it opens up the window just a tad. Still takes a lot of things going right, but if we can keep a steady supply of cold-enough air to snow in the area for a 5-7 day window, that helps.
griteater
Member
Not warm
Parker
Member
Only out to 270 hrs on the GEFS but look at that Deep South look from west to east. Been a long time.
not warm. not necessarily snowy tho
The players are at least going to be on the field. We don't even get looks like this most winters. We don't know much else yet, but cold and a mechanism to bring and keep it are looking more and more likely. There is potential for a southern wave - how consolidated, where and when and how the northern stream times out and interacts or doesn't will probably be the difference between a cold 3-5 day window and something more or much more.
Classic cold air drain.
The end of the ICON run looks intriguing too: The cold is still pressing SE at the end with mischief lurking over the rockies and approaching the SW US off of California.
Id probably rather be in a get the cold find the moisture scenario vs having the moisture looking for cold
The fantasy scenarios from this
lexxnchloe
Member
