Pattern December Doldrums 2025 🎄 ❄️

[EV/WS]

Graupel / Flurries. Yay

 

[Bigedd09]

Best event of the year so far, more snowflakes then the eye can count finally

You deserve it man. Nothing here in huntersville


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[NBAcentel]

 

[BourbonLumberjack]

Happy to report I'm seeing some surprise flurries here in Mooresville, just off the Langtree exit

 

[GaWx]

I wasn’t even thinking of this in my last post. With the Arctic plunge coming in Sunday, is there a chance a good portion of NC could have their 4th mainly minor snow of the first half of Dec? If so, 1989 would still be the only comparable of the last 50++ years in terms of cold and number of different minor wintry events in the first half of Dec.

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

I

I know we’ll have a -PNA, but the EPS is suggesting an -EPO and -NAO toward the end of the month.


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[NCSNOW]

Nice little snow shower here GSO and being reported back at house

 

[SNOWMANN]

Yay snow here now.

I fell asleep lol Was it just flurries?

 

[superjames1992]

I saw mpings for around 830ish really nearby me but OH WELL

I actually just saw (literally) a couple flurries.

 

[Sciadopitys]

Flurries just southwest of Raleigh

 

[Stevo24]

Sunnis skies and mosquitoes here in Anderson SC.

 

[Tarheel17]

Graupel coming down near RDU

Third snow before the end of December here. All minor events but will gladly take it, given our recent track record

 

[Ross]

nothing in richmond...
happy to let you guys have this one

 

[SD]

 

[broken025]

Partly cloudy and 42 degrees here. Roads are not caving.

 

[Tarheel17]

Proof that clippers can make it over the Apps in NC, just not common

 

[WolfpackHomer91]

Happy to report I'm seeing some surprise flurries here in Mooresville, just off the Langtree exit

Stop the count, Flurries off and on in Mooresville since 9AM Downtown back towards 152 East. Tiny trace on my vehichle hood.... nice winter guys we cant say we got shutout

 

[WolfpackHomer91]

Anyone in here live between Salisbury - Randleman (Asheboro) ? Nice return on radar was wondering if it actually was

 

[KyloG]

Good news is that the pattern can't get worse than this, so only up from here.

Bad news...its going to take a lot of work/time to get out of this. Or...we can live in fantasy land and say all ensembles are bad day 8+.

 

[superjames1992]

Good news is that the pattern can't get worse than this, so only up from here.

Bad news...its going to take a lot of work/time to get out of this. Or...we can live in fantasy land and say all ensembles are bad day 8+.

View attachment 178790

It sets the table for to rock in late January when we get to peak climo.

 

[Brent]

Well we just had a front here and wow it's kind of chilly. I was a bit surprised

And this is nothing compared to Sunday which may stay below freezing for the first time this winter

Then Christmas week is some historic torch like we've never seen before!

 

[NBAcentel]

Anyone in here live between Salisbury - Randleman (Asheboro) ? Nice return on radar was wondering if it actually was

Moderate graupel in it, heaviest so far

 

[NorthHillsWx]

Pretty steady light snow/flurries at my office in garner

 

[Caesar]

Graupel off and on all morning long in Lewisville and Winston-Salem. Just saw a salt truck drive down Stratford brining the road

 

[Nomanslandva]

We are always too far south now, I guess. Things don’t work like they used to.

I was a county or so too far north this time. Just enough to make the roads damp.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

What a beautiful day it is. 60 degrees and sunny !

 

[lexxnchloe]

Christmas Eve on the GFS. You have to laugh. Pain.

View attachment 178777

No snow but todays GFS says no july on Christmas eve either.

 

[Webberweather53]

Good news is that the pattern can't get worse than this, so only up from here.

Bad news...its going to take a lot of work/time to get out of this. Or...we can live in fantasy land and say all ensembles are bad day 8+.

View attachment 178790

I think this warmer pattern eventually/most likely ends sometime in early January with the Scandinavian blocking high retrograding into Greenland and becoming a -NAO, yielding a very favorable configuration for CAD events. May be more of a back-and-forth cold & warm vs sustained cold, especially at first, but beggars can’t be choosers.

We have a totally different issue in the North Pacific. Imho, despite the -EAMT favoring continued jet retraction, I actually think we’re in a sort of quasi-equilibrium state atm with the poleward influx of tropical +AAMa from the previous MJO event being counteracted by -EAMT & of course beta advection from the wave itself.

This quasi equilibrium state I think is what’s giving us that stationary wave pattern over the N Pacific. We need another injection of +U from either a +EAMT event or a major reinvigoration of convection over the Tropical West Pacific to move things along again. The Euro weeklies suggest the latter may happen around mid-Jan

 

[NCSNOW]

Warmnaustiguas ( or whatever JB use to call em) have lost Christmas day and slowly loosing Christmas Eve.

High temp Christmas Eve



AND when Santa squeeezes down that chimney:

 

[Webberweather53]

Warmnaustiguas ( or whatever JB use to call em) have lost Christmas day and slowly loosing Christmas Eve.

High temp Christmas Eve

View attachment 178793

AND when Santa squeeezes down that chimney:

View attachment 178796

I’m not moved by a single deterministic model run 10-15 days out. Yeah sure we can get transient cold shots from time to time, but late month is not a cold pattern for us

 

[LukeBarrette]

Last band going hard

 

[NCSNOW]

I’m not moved by a single deterministic model run 10-15 days out. Yeah sure we can get transient cold shots from time to time, but late month is not a cold pattern for us

No one is saying that. Just monitoring the Doom and Gloom telecast ( Models) for Christmas Eve/Day temps. Avoid sunscreen both days is a win. Everyone knows pattern is headed to toliett 12/17-12/24 at a minimum.

 

[GaWx]

Natural gas futures are down still another 3% on the day, which brings the total drop since the peak of 8 days ago to a very steep 25% on an anticipated much warmer E US pattern (though maybe not all of the way to a torch in the means) starting mid to late next week and continuing for the foreseeable future! At least that’s some good news for future heating bills.

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

Mini dipping dots/snow pellets/graupel falling off and on over the past hour here in Kenly NC…another small win in December.


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[NCSNOW]

Natural gas futures are down still another 3% on the day, which brings the total drop since the peak of 8 days ago to a very steep 25% on an anticipated much warmer E US pattern (though maybe not all of the way to a torch in the means) starting mid to late next week and continuing for the foreseeable future! At least that’s some good news for future heating bills.

Reminder a Heating/ electric bill that cost 20% for the month, is always cheaper than a plane ticket to Donners Pass or Gas/hotel to the high country to see snow/ winter.. Now M,J,JU,Aug... send something to save the AC running 24/7 and I'm all on board.

 

[Chazwin]

Always. One thing I root for , before anything else is a + PNA

I agree with this in general but I think with the way Canada is gonna stay cold and continue to build snow pack even as we warm up, we can get the job done without the further we go into peak climo. Keep in mind, we’re having a legit shot of Arctic air Sunday and Monday with a -PNA

 

[WeatherNC]

Flurries, 40/29

 

[JQPublic]

tiny flakes in SW Wake County / New Hill.

 

[Tsappfrog20]

We continue to have flurries/grapple in Raleigh near Glenwood for the better part of the last four hours!


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[IWC]

Hello from Garner, Flakes and little snow balls here now..