Pattern December Doldrums 2025 🎄 ❄️

[Stevo24]

So only one member showed that. And that’s what it went with lol.

 

[xshare]

So only one member showed that. And that’s what it went with lol.

How does that happen!? Why did they pick the only fantasy map one to get our (GA weenies) hopes up?

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

How does that happen!? Why did they pick the only fantasy map one to get our (GA weenies) hopes up?

It's a day 9+ threat. We all know it'll be gone by the next run, but now and then, something similar works out anyway.

 

[NorthHillsWx]

So no support for op

 

[Chazwin]

It's a day 9+ threat. We all know it'll be gone by the next run, but now and then, something similar works out anyway.

You know there was a time when the EURO showed something like that at day 10 and it meant you had a decent chance of something to track.

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

You know there was a time when the EURO showed something like that at day 10 and it meant you had a decent chance of something to track.

There was a time
Back in it's prime
When it could really nail em down
But if you want snow tonight
It may have just enough
It's not as good as it once was
But hopefully it's as as good once
As it ever was.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

You know there was a time when the EURO showed something like that at day 10 and it meant you had a decent chance of something to track.

That kinda actually worked close to a year ago for a change. It showed two amazing runs day 10ish+ and then something verified at about the same time, but not the exact solution we were seeing in the long range.

The unfortunate issue though in this case is there's really no support for that overnight run, even by its own ensembles, and when we were going into January last year, we knew there was a good chance of a massive cold snap and this time it's going to be warm.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

You know there was a time when the EURO showed something like that at day 10 and it meant you had a decent chance of something to track.

I take the warning shots by that EURO run, along with some similar earlier AIGFS and EMCFAI runs, as a heads up that the southern jet may be waking up. IF we can get a strong west-based -NAO to occur, we'll have some threats to track post-Christmas.

 

[jetstream30]

Webber does not seem too optimistic for January or February. Happy Official Winter Everyone and Happy Holidays! Let’s hope we are tracking a system by New Years.

 

[*Flash*]

Webber does not seem too optimistic for January or February. Happy Official Winter Everyone and Happy Holidays! Let’s hope we are tracking a system by New Years.

Exaggerated hyperbole/reverse jinxing is a renowned strat of his. There's likely a hint of clickbait in those latest tweets. Personally, I advise you diversity your portfolio of who you listen to this time of year. Lot of credible voices out there, not all are doom and gloom on this first day of winter.

 

[jetstream30]

Good advice. Thanks!

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Who ordered?

 

[KyloG]

These doomsday Herculean Aleutian ridges don’t just disappear overnight. We’ve had winters that these have persisted.

But we can have fun tracking CAD events where highs are muted from the 60’s to the 40’s. That’s always fun in the heart of winter.

But we’ve already had 2 events…solid winter.

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Ensembles have been locked in and haven’t budged. I guess models can do alright in the extended.