Pattern December Doldrums 2025 🎄 ❄️

[GaWx]

The GEFS and EPS have big disagreement 12/25-1/3! Fwiw, JMA, BOM, and CFS favor GEFS:





Meanwhile, phase 8, which helped bring strong cold Dec 3-7 and Dec 15 but won’t next week, returned on 12/17 and will likely be with us for awhile:

 

[jrips27]

Disgusting stretch around the holidays smh

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

AIGFS with a day 10-ish CAD storm fwiw.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Disgusting stretch around the holidays smh
View attachment 179381

The timing couldn’t be any worse.

 

[Arcc]

Disgusting stretch around the holidays smh
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One thing I will never, ever do, I don't care when; call 72 disgusting.

After the assured three month, miserable southern summer, I just cant.

 

[GaWx]

Disgusting stretch around the holidays smh
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If this verifies, it would be pretty historic for late Dec though not to the extent of 21, 15, and 84, which had 70+ 6 days, and 1971/1889, which had 5 days of it, within Dec 20-31.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

One thing I will never, ever do, I don't care when; call 72 disgusting.

After the assured three month, miserable southern summer, I just cant.

72 is disgusting if the Dewpoint is also 72 !

 

[EastmanGAWX]

GAWX brought up a good point in referencing December 1889. I think that this entire board would lose it's collective mind if another winter like the one of 1889-1890 happened, it's by far one of the most least talked about torch years due to it's antiquity and lack of records for some locales in the SE. From my research, that winter actually makes some of our recent warm ones mediocre looking in scope.

 

[Mitch West]

Same timeframe the GFS AI showed is on the Euro. Just no crazy fantasy output.. something is there though.

 

[NBAcentel]

Man day 15-16 and still no sign in moving the Aleutian ridge.

 

[Brent]

One thing I will never, ever do, I don't care when; call 72 disgusting.

After the assured three month, miserable southern summer, I just cant.

True when it was 70/65 in August here that random day this year it was like the greatest thing ever haha

And most people had to work....

 

[NorthHillsWx]

We have 9 months out of the year for warm weather if it never cracked 55 from December 1 to March 1 I’d be happy. 70s in any other month are great

 

[dsaur]

One thing I will never, ever do, I don't care when; call 72 disgusting.

After the assured three month, miserable southern summer, I just cant.

The difference between 99 and 72, is the difference between hell and Tahiti.

 

[GaWx]

Today was another nice day for a walk here! Mid to low 60s, sunshine, a light breeze, and dewpoints in the 40s. Due largely to the great walking wx, I’ve taken walks every day since Nov 29th per my phone’s fitness ap. According to it over the last 10 years, I’ve never taken anywhere near that many days in a row of walks! Usually something (wx or other) gets in the way at least once a week.

 

[GaWx]

What the???

 

[GaWx]

Later on the same Euro op: what the? Dewpoint Dan gets a freeze in Americus?!


Check this out: SE winter storm?

 

[GaWx]

SE winter storm?!

 

[trackersacker]

WHAT

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Later on the same Euro op: what the? Dewpoint Dan gets a freeze in Americus?!
View attachment 179409

Check this out:
View attachment 179410

Canadian has the same front, only colder the following morning. EUROAI too.

 

[GaWx]

Time to plan another ATL trip!

 

[trackersacker]

Somebody start spamming @Mitch West’s phone right now

 

[GaWx]

@NBAcentel I think has been on top of this potential based on AI runs

 

[MSnowAtl]

Somebody start spamming @Mitch West’s phone right now

Archived it and let's move on please.. nothing to see here!

 

[accu35]

 

[MSnowAtl]

View attachment 179424

Euro went to a Christmas party tonight...too much spiked eggnog... but they always say a drunken mind leaves to sober thoughts! So this might have some legs too it. Again let's move on!

 

[GaWx]

View attachment 179424

Someone alert Tony or at least his moles that the 0Z Euro in 9 days has his biggest snow since ????
@dsaur

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

The end of the ICON run is similar to the EURO, although it appears to leave the cutoff behind.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Someone alert Tony or at least his moles that the 0Z Euro in 9 days has his biggest snow since ????
@dsaur

A lot of sleet with this teaser, too.

 

[GaWx]

A lot of sleet with this teaser, too.

Thanks for the mention of sleet. That will wake Tony up if he’s asleep!

The ZR is bad in especially parts of SC (late 12/30 to early 12/31):

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Setting the snow aside, if the front advertised on the EMCF and CMC were to verify, December likely averages BN in most of the SE.

 

[jeremyt]

View attachment 179424

NW trend for the win!

 

[GaWx]

The 0Z model disagreements are huge between the GFS and the other 4 even just at hour 120!!

Euro:


CMC: has 997 low S of Hudson Bay where Euro has a 1030 high!! But it’s somewhat similar in SW Canada:


ICON: similar to Euro in Canada


UKMET: also similar to Euro in Canada


GFS: totally different from Euro/Icon/UKMET with no high S of Hudson Bay and totally different from the other 4 with it having a strong high in SW Canada!! This is crazy:

 

[GaWx]

Last 3 EPS runs for Dec 30th: chance for freeze has skyrocketed in SE:

 

[256wx]

If I miss snow to the SOUTH of me, I’m going to lose it! Haha 00z Euro is wild!

James Spann is going to be talking people down this morning, wait for it.

 

[NorthHillsWx]

Last 3 EPS runs for Dec 30th: chance for freeze has skyrocketed in SE:
View attachment 179434

I thought this was the probably of 0.1” of snowfall and I got excited, only to find out we’re tracking a freeze potential at the end of December

 

[Brent]

I thought this was the probably of 0.1” of snowfall and I got excited, only to find out we’re tracking a freeze potential at the end of December

Lol I'm not even sure we're having another one here this year

 

[JHS]

View attachment 179418

Time to plan another ATL trip!

A January 1992 repeat there. That storm did not give me a single flake.

 

[Mitch West]

We got something going on the last few days of December. Not quite done with this month yet. Not saying we will get a Winter storm in the Southeast, but that is a timeframe to watch.

 

[Southern Track]

Anyone have the EPS members for that 0z run?

 

[trackersacker]

Anyone have the EPS members for that 0z run?