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Pattern December Doldrums 2025 🎄 ❄️
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
TriplePhaser
Member
With the SOI taking going forward and more westerly wind bursts forecasted, any -EAMT should be on the weaker side. As Grit said, we'll have to wait til Dec 15th -20th or so for +EAMT chances that'll add momentum to the Pacific jet!
MRKEVIN7575
Member
The trough has been too far east lately or no? I feel a retrograde would help out some imo
Arctic blast backing off for the Southeast. Been the trend since last night. I wonder if we reverse this over the coming days.
This is the first time in awhile we've ticked in the opposite direction for cold in the medium term. Might just be delayed though.
This is the first time in awhile we've ticked in the opposite direction for cold in the medium term. Might just be delayed though.
Bigedd09
Member
AJ1013
Member
90F heat index at the airport today. How delightful. I just love record heat in December 
SimeonNC
Member
There's a ton of fog outside, foggiest night in a while
Pattern shuffle coming in a week or so and will see what January brings. Because we know winter ends into Feb. Tick Tock
But, if you are in VA it’s been a great winter and many places to the north.
lexxnchloe
Member
As long as CA stays dry itd hard to believe a long lasting warm-up is likely
TriplePhaser
Member
Models are slowly backing off from a stronger -AMM which makes sense in this base state and I expect it to being not much more negative then in mid-November.
TriplePhaser
Member
Originally models portrayed late November warm but corrected cold. Then early December was gonna be a torch but have likewise corrected cold. The same is now true for mid December week two and three(warm but have since come back to reality). Now models are showing we'll go mild by Winter solstice but will likely correct east again! Not once has the warmth moved up in time and I don't expect that to change until at least mid January or so(prehaps a thaw?)
Judah Cohen is most likely going to be correct in calling for a fridget 3ed week of December as a -NPO/AO/NAO +PNA should lock the cold air in place for awhile. Yes the AO/NAO could briefly go nuetral/positive towards the 20th but I believe it'll recharge sometime thereafter as the NPO stays negative.
Also after the 10th I think we'll have more moisture to work with and a potential storm 13th-16th(no garantees) as the Pacific reshuffles!
Judah Cohen is most likely going to be correct in calling for a fridget 3ed week of December as a -NPO/AO/NAO +PNA should lock the cold air in place for awhile. Yes the AO/NAO could briefly go nuetral/positive towards the 20th but I believe it'll recharge sometime thereafter as the NPO stays negative.
Also after the 10th I think we'll have more moisture to work with and a potential storm 13th-16th(no garantees) as the Pacific reshuffles!
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We’ve gone from teens at 0z last night to 50s at 0z tonight. What a great hobby
lol..1 one jump and that ridge connects 
TriplePhaser
Member
This seems reasonable to me.
WolfpackHomer91
Member
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Morning, lows 2 days before a Merry Christmas! Wen cold?
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There’s no question that the CAD wedge has been the big winner in the SE US so far this month.
My area has had almost every day mainly cloudy, rain on most days, and every day 12/1-7 has had highs only in the 50s! That’s very hard to do on every day for a week in early Dec with normal highs 10 degrees warmer. As a matter of fact, it’s so hard that this is the first time on record that it has happened with records going all of the way back to 1874!
Interestingly, the highs have ticked down each day this month: 59, 58, 55, 54, 53, 52, and 50.
I see that GSO has had all highs only in the 40s Dec 1-7. I wonder if that’s ever on record happened there. Anyone know?
My area has had almost every day mainly cloudy, rain on most days, and every day 12/1-7 has had highs only in the 50s! That’s very hard to do on every day for a week in early Dec with normal highs 10 degrees warmer. As a matter of fact, it’s so hard that this is the first time on record that it has happened with records going all of the way back to 1874!
Interestingly, the highs have ticked down each day this month: 59, 58, 55, 54, 53, 52, and 50.
I see that GSO has had all highs only in the 40s Dec 1-7. I wonder if that’s ever on record happened there. Anyone know?