• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern December Doldrums 2025 🎄 ❄️

Bigedd09 said:
Icon too warm for Monday. Ugh


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
ICON runs hot.
Bigedd09 said:
No doubt. The snow drought is absolutely absurd in our area. It’s been a rough several years for people who love snow. Even in phase 8 we still find ways to screw up


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
It is just now winter. And we literally just got into Phase 8.
Bigedd09 said:
Well king euro will be king euro. Gfs absolutely sucks. We fail again. Are we ever gonna have any luck with a storm. Smh


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
We just got into winter.
Bigedd09 said:
Thanks, I was confused on that. Could've sworn I've heard it takes 2 weeks
Click to expand...
Probably thinking about the lage effect with stratwarm events.
Bigedd09 said:
I think a lot of people also realize in a La Nina you have to score in December. 2nd half of winter is normally a torch. Now we are punting december
Click to expand...
No no no. Nobody is punting December it is literally about to snow in the Southeast tonight. We are usually waiting until mid-January for a cold pattern to even show up. Now, we have 2 possible events in with 3 days of each other.

People, we really need to get ourselves aligned here. It's game time. It's no time for JV ball. We gotta step it up. Snow is coming. It's going to be a good winter.
 
jackendrickwx said:
overall trend on weathernext 2 for monday isn't bad, but its not what the gfs/cmc had a few days ago. good trends for mountain snow, at least. if it keeps backing up/beefing up precip you could work toward some central/eastern nc flizzard fun
Click to expand...
I need your api key 💀
 
griteater said:
BAM says yes

View attachment 177975
Click to expand...

Thanks, Grit. Having cold continue for most of the US late month wouldn't surprise me considering the progged MJO.

Before anyone says that BAMwx is predicting a massive cold dump into the SE US late month, the map of averaged analogs that they’re showing has the 6-10 BN in the upper Midwest and the N and C Plains with moderate cold (2-6 BN) for the E US. Down here it has ~2BN, which I’d be more than content with for the holiday period.

For the E US, January has a lot of potential based on Dec -ENSO -PNA analogs. The last 11 of these all switched to a +PNA for Jan, including the cold Jans of 1984, 1985, 2009, 2014, and 2022. That doesn’t mean it will definitely have a +PNA or would necessarily be cold with it, but I at least like a cold Jan as a reasonable possibility
 
0fa1910a4a25f591b00841d62f9bc0e3.jpg

General H5 pattern through 1/3


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
MRKEVIN7575 said:
Griteater, I think until the epo goes negative, which i hope it does, we won't see a big dump of cold, despite what the wpo does imo.
Click to expand...
That's the whole point of the MJO moving into the better phases, to keep the pattern progressive and move western ridging closer to the west coast in time. Will that work here, don't know, but it's sure better than the MJO being parked in the Maritime Continent. Also could use more +EAMT as mentioned in the earlier post.
 
griteater said:
That's the whole point of the MJO moving into the better phases, to keep the pattern progressive and move western ridging closer to the west coast in time. Will that work here, don't know, but it's sure better than the MJO being parked in the Maritime Continent. Also could use more +EAMT as mentioned in the earlier post.
Click to expand...
In Maritime Continent with any amplitude is almost a guaranteed blowtorch. Unless incredible blocking is happening. We do have a chance where we are now and hopefully we can time a wave and cold here.
 
It’s been a semi-raw cloudy day here today with only low 50s most of afternoon and with occasional very light rain. Steadier not as light rain is about to start, which is just the beginning of Mon and off rainy period through Sunday. This should evap cool temps down into the high 40s soon. It’s going to be hard to get walks at the park in but I’ll try my best during any breaks.
 
NCSNOW said:
What was it supose to do. Rain to snow , all rain or all snow?
Click to expand...
They said that there would be a mix this afternoon but it would not amount anything now they're saying one to three inches of snow tonight I'm going to miss it since I am about to go to the airport to fly back to Charleston at least I'm hopeful I'll be able to get back
 
Stevo24 said:
and let me guess, dryyyyyyyy
Click to expand...
Fairly dry it is through hour 354. If this continues drought will become a MAJOR problem for many of us. This pattern reminds me of the 1985-86 winter into summer when we made national headlines for drought. As for snow, that winter saw very little of it in much of the southeast.
 
JHS said:
Fairly dry it is through hour 354. If this continues drought will become a MAJOR problem for many of us. This pattern reminds me of the 1985-86 winter into summer when we made national headlines for drought. As for snow, that winter saw very little of it in much of the southeast.
Click to expand...
Only 1.4 that winter at GSP. Normally that's a bad winter. Now? I'm sure most would call that a win considering how bad its been since 2022.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top