I think one more Euro run should do it.
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Pattern December Doldrums 2025 🎄 ❄️
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Met1985
Member
Oh yeah the models have all struggled. Flip flopping and having no consistency at all until we get down into like a 5 day window. It's kind of been like that this whole Fall.
If the Euro bites again, mise well start a thread.
SimeonNC
Member
It's weird that the Canadian doesn't have it lol, usually the GEM model goes bonkers for any set up like this.
Cold HP trending stronger. Position remaining the same.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Probably start one for Tuesday. Looks icy and will only trend that way as we get closer. Always does
the only model with significant wintry weather solidly south into NC i see is the gfs that people keep saying is horrible
Once the GFS goes back to a cold rain, people will call it horrible
Yeah, but if this were N. Georgia I'd be making a milk, bread, and beer run just for practice.
i think a mix at onset is possible, but is that even significant? idk, i'm leaning towards VA north right now but we'll see. i really wish these snow maps stopped counting zr/ip as snow
not trying to piss in anyone's cereal but i am not impressed by how transient the wedging high is modeled currently
that's where i am at. i hope it works out, but i'm just not seeing it for a thread right now, that's all. when we get to making a lot of threads for threats that don't pan out, it leads to confusion and stuff
Unreal energy. I live in the armpit of hell & trying to get excited for y’all. Lmaoo
goofus is the most optimistic about how far south it is at precip onset as well as keeping it lingering into sat AM hours and that's why you get a more exciting solution. i'm not saying barf yak oof toss yet, but for most of us this needs work to be much of anything. tweaking the timing by not a whole lot creates a much more intriguing output and that could certainly happen on any given model run sometime soon!
SimeonNC
Member
The GEFS trending colder is a good sign though
The GFS has been known to be too fast with the northern flow, the fact that is is holding the cold in longer would be a good sign, hopefully
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
3 consecutive 12z + 0z runs with the cut off upper low trending more progressive in the medium range, including today’s 12z that’s loading.
Odds are, this shift will further help with the CAD later this week
The euro has a slow bias with these troughs normally but it’s extra bad this year
Odds are, this shift will further help with the CAD later this week
The euro has a slow bias with these troughs normally but it’s extra bad this year