Pattern December Discussion

[Mrgolf]

Hi guys. I used to be a member at talkwx. I live in ne arkansas now. Could someone post the euro from 108-120 for me qpf? Just trying to tell how much if any is frozen. Thanks Maybe storm 5 or whoever has access to qpf from euro for my area

 

[Webberweather53]

Some areas in northern NC & southern VA receive freezing rain for ~30-36 straight hours on this GFS run. No bueno

 

[Storm5]

Haha 18z gfs kicked the energy this run

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[Mrgolf]

Charlie， u got qpf access for my area? Just tryin to distinguish the frozen from liquid

 

[dsaur]

Some areas in northern NC & southern VA receive freezing rain for ~30-36 straight hours on this GFS run. No bueno

 
  Best hope that never happens   It's hard to enjoy the beauty of a major zr event thru all the suffering, lol.  Now, 36 hours of sleet would be a gift of great rarity.  Funny how painland and joyland share a border

 

[tellicowx]

One thing that does almost look like a lock is some big time drought relief over the next 7 to 10 days

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[SD]

Some areas in northern NC & southern VA receive freezing rain for ~30-36 straight hours on this GFS run. No bueno

Pretty major event for the triad and border counties almost all of this for those areas is Monday/Tuesday

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[tellicowx]

Re: December Discussion

[quote author=Webberweather53 link=topic=2.msg1843#msg1843 date=1481668165]
Some areas in northern NC & southern VA receive freezing rain for ~30-36 straight hours on this GFS run. No bueno

Pretty major event for the triad and border counties almost all of this for those areas is Monday/Tuesday

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[/quote]
Looks like the Plateau here in East TN gets nailed as well

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[SD]

[quote author=SD link=topic=2.msg1852#msg1852 date=1481669766]
[quote author=Webberweather53 link=topic=2.msg1843#msg1843 date=1481668165]
Some areas in northern NC & southern VA receive freezing rain for ~30-36 straight hours on this GFS run. No bueno

Pretty major event for the triad and border counties almost all of this for those areas is Monday/Tuesday

Sent from my SM-G928V using Tapatalk
[/quote]
Looks like the Plateau here in East TH gets nailed as well

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[/quote]
Yep considering a thread since it looks like some areas will see freezing rain early next week

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[tellicowx]

[quote author=tellicowx link=topic=2.msg1854#msg1854 date=1481669924]
[quote author=SD link=topic=2.msg1852#msg1852 date=1481669766]
[quote author=Webberweather53 link=topic=2.msg1843#msg1843 date=1481668165]
Some areas in northern NC & southern VA receive freezing rain for ~30-36 straight hours on this GFS run. No bueno

Pretty major event for the triad and border counties almost all of this for those areas is Monday/Tuesday

Sent from my SM-G928V using Tapatalk
[/quote]
Looks like the Plateau here in East TH gets nailed as well

Sent from my SM-S820L using Tapatalk
[/quote]
Yep considering a thread since it looks like some areas will see freezing rain early next week

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[/quote]
It's always amazed me how the cold air gets entrenched on the west side of the Plateau and North Carolina side of the mountains, while the warm air floods the Great Valley

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[NorthGaWinter]

Haha 18z gfs kicked the energy this run

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Maybe we will get a bowling ball ULL so we can get some snow. Those are the funnest anyway

 

[Storm5]

[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg1845#msg1845 date=1481668684]
Haha 18z gfs kicked the energy this run

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Maybe we will get a bowling ball ULL so we can get some snow. Those are the funnest anyway
[/quote]
need northern stream interaction.  there is no cold air around to support snow

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[NorthGaWinter]

[quote author=NorthGaWinter link=topic=2.msg1857#msg1857 date=1481670479]
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg1845#msg1845 date=1481668684]
Haha 18z gfs kicked the energy this run

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk

Maybe we will get a bowling ball ULL so we can get some snow. Those are the funnest anyway
[/quote]
need northern stream interaction.  there is no cold air around to support snow

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
[/quote]

and thats not gonna happen

 

[Storm5]

[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg1859#msg1859 date=1481671487]
[quote author=NorthGaWinter link=topic=2.msg1857#msg1857 date=1481670479]
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg1845#msg1845 date=1481668684]
Haha 18z gfs kicked the energy this run

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk

Maybe we will get a bowling ball ULL so we can get some snow. Those are the funnest anyway
[/quote]
need northern stream interaction.  there is no cold air around to support snow

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
[/quote]

and thats not gonna happen
[/quote]
nope. Like we have been talking about, this isn't a pattern for us. But some of our friends will see wintry weather next week so at least someone is getting something wintry

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[whatalife]

[quote author=tellicowx link=topic=2.msg1854#msg1854 date=1481669924]
[quote author=SD link=topic=2.msg1852#msg1852 date=1481669766]
[quote author=Webberweather53 link=topic=2.msg1843#msg1843 date=1481668165]
Some areas in northern NC & southern VA receive freezing rain for ~30-36 straight hours on this GFS run. No bueno

Pretty major event for the triad and border counties almost all of this for those areas is Monday/Tuesday

Sent from my SM-G928V using Tapatalk
[/quote]
Looks like the Plateau here in East TH gets nailed as well

Sent from my SM-S820L using Tapatalk
[/quote]
Yep considering a thread since it looks like some areas will see freezing rain early next week

Sent from my SM-G928V using Tapatalk
[/quote]

I'll pass on that fun!


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[Cad Wedge NC]

Torch.............Of course everyone jumped my ass earlier...

We take those maps with a grain of salt.

 

[tellicowx]

Torch.............Of course everyone jumped my ass earlier...

I hate these maps...they can be misleading because of the pretty bright colors...you could have a 70% chance of your  high one degree above normal, and it looks like torch city. One of the most useless maps ever concieved.

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[RollTide18]

Torch.............Of course everyone jumped my ass earlier...

Those maps change like crazy though

 

[Brent]

Torch.............Of course everyone jumped my ass earlier...

Above average here? Ha, there isn't even an average temp on a model run in that timeframe.

I hate those maps

 

[tellicowx]

Re: December Discussion

[quote author=bigstick10 link=topic=2.msg1872#msg1872 date=1481674606]
Torch.............Of course everyone jumped my ass earlier...

Above average here? Ha, there isn't even an average temp on a model run in that timeframe.
[/quote]
This is what I was talking about being misleading...According to the map Dallas has a 30 to 40 percent chance of the average temp for the week being AN, even if it's only 1 degree. So basically you have a better chance guessing a coin toss.
But if you just glance at the map, it looks like it's going to be really warm...it's also why the map changes so frequently.

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