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Pattern December Discussion

much colder gfs run for next week 
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Talk about an arctic dump.... wow! 

Umm is that a high of 23 I see next Thursday at RDU?! Lawd!!
 
SD link said:
Wow. GFS.
Click to expand...
wouldn't be shocked to see an overrunning event for some parts as the arctic front pushes in and begins to slow . Of course , that's taking the 12z gfs verbatim

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Storm5 link said:
[quote author=SD link=topic=2.msg332#msg332 date=1481042596]
Wow. GFS.
Click to expand...
wouldn't be shocked to see an overrunning event for some parts as the arctic front pushes in and begins to slow . Of course , that's taking the 12z gfs verbatim

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[/quote]

It tries but the high is moving out so no go.... but it's a long ways out.  Some blocking would be nice
 
metwannabe link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg334#msg334 date=1481043083]
[quote author=SD link=topic=2.msg332#msg332 date=1481042596]
Wow. GFS.
Click to expand...
wouldn't be shocked to see an overrunning event for some parts as the arctic front pushes in and begins to slow . Of course , that's taking the 12z gfs verbatim

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[/quote]

It tries but the high is moving out so no go.... but it's a long ways out.  Some blocking would be nice
[/quote]
cmc does just that. verbatim it's rain for Tenn and NC but that's the type setup that can produce

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You are right storm. Canadian isn't too far. Get that high a little east and bam
 
just show how horrible the gfs is run to run......... a picture is worth a 1000 words

06z gfs
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12z gfs
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Prediction... euro brings the goods at the end of its run. I can feel it
 
Im just happy to see the models attempting to keep the PV in Canada longer though things start to get a bit ridgy in the SE as the ridge over Alaska breaks down. I wouldn't be shocked though if that held up longer the models continue to try to break it down but it doesnt happen
 
Late blooming clipper for a decent eastern NC hit. Run is somewhat similar to the 12z Canadian
 
Re: December Discussion

SD link said:
Late blooming clipper for a decent eastern NC hit. Run is somewhat similar to the 12z Canadian
Click to expand...
take a screenshot. that way you can look back after the 00z run.....

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Re: December Discussion

Storm5 link said:
[quote author=SD link=topic=2.msg350#msg350 date=1481050908]
Late blooming clipper for a decent eastern NC hit. Run is somewhat similar to the 12z Canadian
Click to expand...
take a screenshot. that way you can look back after the 00z run.....

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[/quote]

I'll never forget
 
SD link said:
Late blooming clipper for a decent eastern NC hit. Run is somewhat similar to the 12z Canadian
Click to expand...
I think I like it

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metwannabe link said:
[quote author=SD link=topic=2.msg350#msg350 date=1481050908]
Late blooming clipper for a decent eastern NC hit. Run is somewhat similar to the 12z Canadian
Click to expand...
I think I like it

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[/quote]
friends don't let friends buy into anything on the euro post day 5. Especially since the upgrade , It's horrible in the LR now

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Storm5 link said:
[quote author=metwannabe link=topic=2.msg356#msg356 date=1481054556]
[quote author=SD link=topic=2.msg350#msg350 date=1481050908]
Late blooming clipper for a decent eastern NC hit. Run is somewhat similar to the 12z Canadian
Click to expand...
I think I like it

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[/quote]
friends don't let friends buy into anything on the euro post day 5. Especially since the upgrade , It's horrible in the LR now

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[/quote]
True but late blooming clippers are my specialty Lol

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12z eps looks really good. Eastern trough idea up until the very end . Looks nothing like the GEFS which buries the trough out west
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EPS has been going back and forth with members having "snow" around Columbia, SC for a week now.  Of course it's empty... now.. but for say, Raleigh... there are 3 light members towards the end of the run... With that said, I will stick to Northern Southeast as some others have said having the better chances for this first go-around.

For those further South, don't fret.  We have around 60 days to go for our chances.
 
Cad Wedge NC link said:
I thought one of our 10 commandments was "Never put your faith or hope in a clipper"
Click to expand...
amen , another commandment is don't buy into anything post day 5.

But hey, we are all sinners

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Side note guys...  I came up with a way to get locations to post under people's names in the forum and it seems to work when the admins applied it. Get those locations put in your profile by doing the following:

1) Login
2) Click "Profile" at the top.  In the popup box, click "Forum Profile"
3) Set the location and save.  Should apply to your previous and future posts.

Also, zip codes won't auto resolve, it's best to type City/State like : BMX, AL.  Or Birmingham, AL. etc
 
another good thing is all ensembles keep Canada in the fridge days 12-15. so even if we do see a relax in the pattern it looks like it will be short lived. It's far better keeping the cold on our side vs watching it head back to Siberia

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Storm5 link said:
[quote author=Cad Wedge NC link=topic=2.msg361#msg361 date=1481057194]
I thought one of our 10 commandments was "Never put your faith or hope in a clipper"
Click to expand...
amen , another commandment is don't buy into anything post day 5.

But hey, we are all sinners

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[/quote]

I wouldn't buy anything post three days...LOL!


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Surprise there is not mention of 18z it's close for the 15th
 
14th-17th seems at least interesting this far out  for Arkansas Tenn and NC

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I'm as optimistic as anyone. But, I'm not going to lie, the amount of cutters showing in the LR is concerning
 
  ;DAnother cold run, much better than yesterday runs. Really like how the gfs keep the cold on our side side of the world.
 
NorthGaWinter link said:
I'm as optimistic as anyone. But, I'm not going to lie, the amount of cutters showing in the LR is concerning
Click to expand...
cutters were showing for next week with a trough in the west and that's gone . gonna see wild swings in the lr. the best news is the colds on our side of the world  and looks to stay for a while

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I'd like to get excited about that system on the 15th but there are a lot of problems that come with that setup. It's showing up on the gfs/cmc/euro though so it's with keeping an eye on

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Pattern is active with bouts of cold. We have the players. We just need a ball.


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JB's favorite model of the day.....
CMC ensembles!!
 
At least we're talking about cold this Dec vs. 80° weather for most of last Dec.


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