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Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

Agree this could be an opportunity *IF* the trend towards more separation between the initial northern stream wave -- which ushers in a potent cold front -- and a follow up northern stream wave and a southern stream wave continues. We need that first wave to separate and get out ahead of the second northern wave so that 1) we have the cold air in place out ahead of the system and 2) keep it suppressed by acting as a 50/50 low. There is also some potential for a phase/interaction between northern and southern streams if the stars truly align.

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Yep. I don't see much outside of this window to focus in on over the next two weeks or so.
 
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Is he the Eurasian snowcover guru? All these social media meteorologists start to run together!? JB has been awfully quiet lately, for all the great indices and stuff?? He must have went warm December??
 
I have read on another forum that the models are not correctly showing the EPO/PNA pattern so the models are going to struggle for a few days.
 
Is he the Eurasian snowcover guru? All these social media meteorologists start to run together!? JB has been awfully quiet lately, for all the great indices and stuff?? He must have went warm December??
JB posted a CFS run yesterday and he said that the CFS has changed it from warm to cooler because it did a horrible job in November.
 
By early December standards, seeing 1"+ probabilities approach or even exceed 10% for some on the board is fantastic & a massive change of pace from the last several years broadly speaking.

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Looks to favor an overrunning event, which is a good recipe for a relatively boardwide storm. Nice to see N GA jumped to 10%. Let's get it to 20 or higher soon and we can get our hopes up for a good storm.
 
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