If you thought the GL low was bad, wait til this happens. Great Canadian low killing Arctic air transport. 1043 in prime position but woof. Window of opportunity to the east. Would need that gigantic low to hang back to the west a bit
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Looks like the FV3 gets the cold air into Canada around Christmas and into the beginning of the new year. It’s a start
Areas may be suprised with some hail tommorow with cold air aloft where stronger updrafts develop and still leftover 20-30kt of bulk shear.
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I don't understand this tweet. At 12Z, not only did the EPS and GEPS maintain the very strong SSW, the weaker GEFS was even a bit stronger than prior runs. Per the graph, the GEPS is predicting what I think is an alltime record +36-7 C anomaly at 10 mb (60-90N) on 12/28! (Off the chart grays start well below that at +32.) GEFS is predicting 10C cooler at only +26-27C 12/27-8. that looks way too low. GFS is even cooler at only +23C and later (12/29). Euro peaks near 12/29. My rough guess is that it is near +32C. Normal for late Dec. is ~+210 K or -63C.
Edit: one of the reasons GFS is too cold could be that it is biased cold in the higher latitudes
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/strat_a_f/gif_files/gfs_fcst_err_T10_7.png
We had the best winter storm in along time, and Brick didn’t start the thread! Coincidence, I think not
whatalife
Moderator
Doesn’t matter who starts the thread. It is what it is. Move alone and enjoy your Cruise.
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Call it the “January Jinx”
whatalife
Moderator
No January Jinx. Mack will be baking on his cruise while we enjoy our snow on the ground.
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EastAtlwx
Meteorologist
you need to stop... its tropical tidbits not fv3
Yeah, people don’t think it matters , but then they fight and only want or let certain people do it!
whatalife
Moderator
Dear God,
Please drop 14" of snow on Greenville, SC on 01/28/19. - Amen
Please drop 14" of snow on Greenville, SC on 01/28/19. - Amen
I can't find them! They're late.
Weeklies look good. Buckle up!
Youve been known to lie, so no believe until posted.
