I agree. My equipment yard is a muddy mess. Need to get some asphalt millings hauled in while I have some time
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Is that what they call $$$ in the bank?If only that B$$$$ in the SW would kick
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I see the players are on the field, that's a good lookThis sure isn’t a warm look around Christmas . That NAO though.
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Brick Tamland
Guest
That s/w better kick with that -NAO look.This sure isn’t a warm look around Christmas . That NAO though
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whatalife
Moderator
This sure isn’t a warm look around Christmas . That NAO though
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Euro op say what NAO? It also dropped a big trof in here around D5 or 6 then lifted put
If that GFS look is close to right, that’s not just going to sit and spin off the coast of CA, the flow is too fast on the STJ! It’s coming out, just hope the 500mb pattern is close to right!
I do agree. The euro op has had some very wild swings lately for sure. Just today's run it was drastically different than the run yesterday.
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I really, really hate waiting 4 weeks during the heart of winter for the pattern to change to something that can produce snow. I mean, I'm fine to take a week off...even two weeks, if we must. But these multi-week periods where the cold abandons our side of the globe are just so sucky to have to deal with.
I really don't think the pattern is that bad. Yes it's not brutally cold or super wintry, but it's not awful either. Relative to normal, it's actually not that bad considering we always go through patterns like this.
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Brick Tamland
Guest
And it was 70 here the week before this past winter storm. People seem to forget that we can go from nothing to a big storm quickly.
DadOfJax
Member
Very rarely do we get snow in major cold. Yes, without major cold up north, we definitely are threading the needle even more so...but I'd rather it be anything other than deep trough suppression city.
I don't know that person.....but to call a model a terrible model because of wild OP swings is kind of silly, to be honest. Yes, all models are bad at times, but I wouldn't say the model is terrible...SMDH....I will say when we start seeing wild swings in the model runs, that usually tells me that the pattern is starting to change and a pattern change is likely on its way.
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It's not a bad pattern as in temps are going to be blazing into the 70s and 80s. But it doesn't look like it will be conducive to any wintry threats for most of the SE. There isn't enough of a cold air tap, and there is the usual dirth of high pressure to the north. Plenty of lows swinging by up there, though. It's what happens when you have an energetic Pac Jet with no sustained PNA. This is all speculation based on what the models are showing currently. It might change at 18z. But I'm starting to have this feeling that we're going to still be having this discussion at the end of the month.
WXinCanton
Member
Totally agree. Wonder what model would he take over the Euro, lol?
Very true. And honestly we might. Once we kick the MJO out of warm phases it should help
olhausen
Member
I believe you are correct. I remember no winter storms happening as is usually the case 95% of the time in December. As soon as January hit though we got some serious cold and some snow also. The lakes and streams around here froze solid and although minor it snowed off and on for 4-5 days in the first 10 days of January. Then late in the month we received a 6 inch snow followed by a couple more snow storms in February!
Speaking of MJO, since it’s somewhat slow in here, can someone give me a brief synopsis of what this is/how it works? Or point me to an article where I can get some learns on this? Thanks!