It will once it becomes fully operational, right now it's still in Beta which is why the updates are lagging...
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Kind of looks like today’s storm, that was modeled to give AL and TN some snow!? The old cold chasing moisture scenario, a true unicorn
Yep, prepare for 1-2 inches of a cold cold rain
Love the negatively. Kinda like reverse physiology. ??
boobear
Member
Making the best of a bad situation.
Not even a snowflake for anyone the whole 384hours of 12Z GFS!! Rain, after rain, after rain! Pattern change right on schedule! 
Cad Wedge NC
Member
If all else fails try another model.... Perhaps you should look at the Euro.Not even a snowflake for anyone the whole 384hours of 12Z GFS!! Rain, after rain, after rain! Pattern change right on schedule!
Not even a snowflake for anyone the whole 384hours of 12Z GFS!! Rain, after rain, after rain! Pattern change right on schedule!
Even if true, the winter looks to really be in full force just after this period due to the MJO and SSW after effects in concert with the weak El Nino and +PNA/-NAO. Regardless, it already looks like cold may begin to dominate ~a week earlier than models had thought instead of waiting til 1/10.
SSW has just begun as we're now near bottom: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/produc...gif_files/time_pres_TEMP_ANOM_OND_NH_2018.png
This says 60-90 at 10 mb will warm 36 next week or 34 against the mean to ~+29 anom, the warmest in 10 years:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/SSW/gif_files/CFSv2_TMP_10hPa_60N-90N.png
This says 60-90 at 10 mb will warm 38 next week or 36 against the mean ~+29 anom,the warmest in 10 years :
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/SSW/gif_files/gfs_16day_fcst_T10.png
The pole is progged to warm within 5 days a massive 60C (-78C on 12/22 to -18C on 12/27, which is about as much sudden warming as has ever been seen!!
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cd2play
Member
Just pretend it's snow. Nothing like an imaginary snow dayNot even a snowflake for anyone the whole 384hours of 12Z GFS!! Rain, after rain, after rain! Pattern change right on schedule!
cd2play
Member
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As the post above this says, the strat. warming has commenced, folks. This is only the very beginning as this graph will show dramatic warm changes the next few days and will peak around Friday Dec. 28th at 10 hPa though later further down. Buckle your seatbelts:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/produc...gif_files/time_pres_TEMP_ANOM_OND_NH_2018.png
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/produc...gif_files/time_pres_TEMP_ANOM_OND_NH_2018.png
whatalife
Moderator
BHS1975
Member
Early January looks good if we can a southern slider in the mix.
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pcbjr
Member
Been screaming this for 3 winters here ... (and many before that somewhere else) ...Just to add to that...Look at the Euro MJO...
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
I gar-unn-tee that if we put all of our politicans in Washington, our news media and all of Hollywood in a rocket, we could get atleast two levels above major.
Chilly 35 here on Christmas Eve. I can see my breath. It’s been a good one
Look on the right side of this for the start of the SSW (I need Deltadog's "It's Happening") :
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/produc...gif_files/time_pres_TEMP_ANOM_OND_NH_2018.png
This is still as of just 12/23 and it already shows +10 at 100 mb and up to +16 further up with another 5 or so days of warming still to occur.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/produc...gif_files/time_pres_TEMP_ANOM_OND_NH_2018.png
This is still as of just 12/23 and it already shows +10 at 100 mb and up to +16 further up with another 5 or so days of warming still to occur.
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Good sign
ForsythSnow
Moderator
A cold 27 for Christmas with frost. Not a true white Christmas but at least it's cold and somewhat white.