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Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

Storm5 said:
This is far more interesting than the one being discussed above
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That's the same one I was talking about that the CMC has, the GFS is slower with it, and of course the looks up at H5 are different.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
FV3 was close again for Christmas. Seems like we might just be watching to see if we can get a beefed up clipper from what I saw on H5 (and for my purposes I'd want it to start beefing up a little quicker), but we'll see how it looks at around hour 240.
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Big ridge out west. If a clipper is going to deliver for folks in the south, I would imagine this is how it needs to be done 65ABB77F-23E4-4718-924E-35F8B5C6A21B.png
 
Whatever clipper we have needs to tap the gulf a bit. So that it delivers outside the mountains.


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From the other place. Looking good. These anomolies are hard to come by nowadays. Sorry @pcbjr I don’t mean to rub salt in the wound 51BAB6F5-2A4D-4771-8540-901584744788.png
 
WxWatch said:
That's the same one I was talking about that the CMC has, the GFS is slower with it, and of course the looks up at H5 are different.
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It’s the same southern energy but it’s not the same northern energy . We need a solution like the gfs has that has a much better cold source to tap 3-4 days later towards Christmas .


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Storm5 said:
It’s the same southern energy but it’s not the same northern energy . We need a solution like the gfs has that has a much better cold source to tap 3-4 days later towards Christmas .


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Oh, we were looking at two different northern energy's lol. The window is there for something though indeed.
 
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While it is long range, the cold was scheduled to come right after Christmas, then Jan. 4th and now Jan. 11th. That is 1/3 of our coldest winter month if it works out that way, definitely not the right direction
 
MichaelJ said:
While it is long range, the cold was scheduled to come right after Christmas, then Jan. 4th and now Jan. 11th. That is 1/3 of our coldest winter month if it works out that way, definitely not the right direction
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How do you know what January will be like when we can't even figure out Christmas yet? Lol
 
Yeah if anything based off what I'm seeing, at most it seems like Christmas will be a continuation of what we've seen the last two days.
 
MichaelJ said:
While it is long range, the cold was scheduled to come right after Christmas, then Jan. 4th and now Jan. 11th. That is 1/3 of our coldest winter month if it works out that way, definitely not the right direction
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So I guess we should hug the CFSV2
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From my untrained eye. I don’t see anything that says the models have a clue. Anything past 7 days out is a complete roll of the dice. For instance look at gfs and fv3 they both have looked completely different in the long range. So really I’m not sure anyone can predict anything and be accurate.


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